The Polls - Is Trump Winning even without the Algo

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Jul 27, 2016.

  1. fhl

    fhl


    Uh, tony, going from 20 to 40 is exactly the same type of run as going from 50 to 70.
     
    #431     Oct 2, 2016
  2. fhl

    fhl

    Hey tony. Do you get an extra 50 cents when you go back and edit a post. Does that count double?
     
    #432     Oct 2, 2016
  3. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Not really.With around 40 % of the country being republicans starting off and easily staying around 40 % should be the norm.Getting to 51% is big,getting to 70 % is huge.

    BTW Trump has never gotten to 40 % in the Maxim Lott and John Stossel betting page.The highest he has been is a little over 34.
     
    #433     Oct 2, 2016
  4. fhl

    fhl

    Let's see what the polls say in the last week. The polls that really count. The polls that they're really rated on. Not the push polls they're putting out now. The polls that they put together for their 'clients'.

    :rolleyes:I wonder why the pollsters use low thirties for republicans in their polls when 40% are republicans.
     
    #434     Oct 2, 2016
  5. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    The polls around this time were very accurate in 2012 and 2008.



    [​IMG]


    [​IMG]
     
    #435     Oct 2, 2016
  6. fhl

    fhl

    The only polls that count are the last polls.

    My prediction. The polls will be within the margin of error and they will favor Clinton.
    It's called killing two birds with one stone. They get to claim their polls were accurate because they were within the margin of error and they also get to push Cankles for their clients. All at the same time.

    Whatyasay, tony?
    Make a prediction. At least it will make you 50 cents.
     
    #436     Oct 2, 2016
  7. fhl

    fhl


    Sample of two.
    Do you not even realize that the pollsters themselves didn't buy these polls? Do you not understand that they had good reasons for not buying them? Like a sample that is much larger than two?

    They've learned over time (large sample of polls) that these polls are no good and that's the reason they completely change their methodology for the last polls. You don't get that?
     
    #437     Oct 2, 2016
  8. fhl

    fhl

    Looks like i've helped tony make about three or four dollars this morning. Good day for him.
     
    #438     Oct 2, 2016
  9. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    If you think those polls were no good I suggest you look again.They certainly didn't show McCain or Romney ahead.
     
    #439     Oct 2, 2016
  10. fhl

    fhl


    Refer back to my previous post. But at least you're ahead by 50 cents.

    The global warming scammers had their crusher crews and Cankles has hers. Tony is living proof.
     
    #440     Oct 2, 2016