On that particular day(right after Trumps convention with his convention bump) probably his "if the election were held today forecast". Here's that forecast today.
Oh, I gotchya. A day when Trump is favored by Silver doesn't matter, but a day when Clinton is favored is important. Right? You should go into the polling business. You're as biased as they are.
I note on that ABC poll that had clinton up 5 that tony pasted up here. I clicked on it because I just knew ABC would be another garbage poll added to the garbage rcp average. here is the proof... skewed 8 points to the dems to get a 5 point lead. So the algo shows that the race is actually about even and that presumes ABC did not use other methods of slanting the poll as well. Here is a quote from the poll info... Partisan divisions are 34-24-33 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents, in the full sample, and 36-28-31 among likely voters.
Hillary + 4 in new NBC poll http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/fir...-clips-clinton-4-new-nbc-surveymonkey-n647356 Politics Sep 13 2016, 8:15 am ET First Read's Morning Clips: Clinton Up 4 in New NBC|SurveyMonkey Poll OFF TO THE RACES: Clinton up 4 in new NBC|SurveyMonkey tracking poll
I'll note that the majority of ABC polls had Obama ahead in 08 and 2012 and they currently have Hillary ahead in the majority of their 2016 polls.
she is only plus 2 in the 4 way poll and she is down from double digits a few weeks ago in this NBC garbage poll that does not even reveal its R vs D vs I ratio.
therefore they were slanted the majority of time but still picked the winner in a binary. wow... you should do a survey or red green and bet on the winner of your survey. your intentional stupidity on this subject is annoying. you are ak 47 or you work for the same lying operation.
. NBC garbage? They had Obama ahead in the majority of their polls on 08 and 2012 while your beloved Rasmussen who had the D v R numbers you like had Romney ahead in the majority of theirs.
Thats right jem,the polls you consider garbage picks the eventual winner in the majority of their polls.The only stupidity I see is you not learning your lesson after believing the skewed polls BS in 2012.