The peak is going to be an extended plateau

Discussion in 'Economics' started by Pekelo, Apr 13, 2020.

  1. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    1863, overall every state looked less today. Maybe we can stay below 2K from now on....
     
    #61     Apr 24, 2020
  2. If we don’t open May 1st and during the May state by state, step by step we will dive into depression 25% unemployment food shortages , riots , you name it. We should move on!
     
    #62     Apr 24, 2020
  3. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    They always add a few more later on so Friday was something like 1950 eventually. Saturday is 2065. So we are plateauing around 2K now.
     
    #63     Apr 26, 2020
  4. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    1157 for Sunday. Weekends are always low due to sporadic reporting. But if Mo and Tu don't pick up close to 2K numbers, this can be the beginning of the downward curve.
     
    #64     Apr 27, 2020
  5. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    1384, pretty low after a weekend.
     
    #65     Apr 27, 2020
  6. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    We didn't get so lucky, 2470. So we are still pretty much at the same plateau, averaging the last 2 days.
     
    #66     Apr 28, 2020
  7. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    2390. This is not good, it is going up when some states started to reopen.
     
    #67     Apr 29, 2020
  8. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    I'm not sure it's that yet.. likely delayed outbreaks from rural areas as some of the urban centers die down. Will be interesting to track individual state/city curves.
     
    #68     Apr 29, 2020
  9. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    True, but overall my 200K+ dead Americans at the end of the year will be easily reached.

    2201 for today. I don't think Florida's numbers are even close to correct, after the governor banned medical examiners to report the cause of death.
     
    #69     Apr 30, 2020
  10. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    Friday: 1900
    Saturday: 1690
     
    #70     May 3, 2020