The Overnight Drift Higher In Index Futures

Discussion in 'Index Futures' started by Roman Candle, May 7, 2009.

  1. Ready for the drift higher
     
    #211     Aug 8, 2022
  2. As usual the index futures drift higher.

    Screenshot 2022-08-10 072624.jpg
     
    #212     Aug 10, 2022
  3. Screenshot 2022-08-10 073313.jpg
     
    #213     Aug 10, 2022
  4. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Drifted higher true, after they drifted lower first:-
    !eMini.png
     
    #214     Aug 10, 2022
  5. If you waited to buy the cash open you basically enjoyed a nothing burger. Gap up sideways. The easy money is made overnight people, before the cash open in NY. Now the wall street journal is reporting we are in a new bull market. These are the fastest bear markets in history.

    Screenshot 2022-08-10 161003.jpg
     
    #215     Aug 10, 2022
  6. Screenshot 2022-08-11 055909.jpg
     
    #216     Aug 11, 2022
  7. TrAndy2022

    TrAndy2022

    The overnight edge is small. You only get a sharpe ratio something like 1.4 with some filters up to 2. So it takes many years to build up capital with the overnight edge. Or did you find a good short term model with higher sharpes than 4 here ? I could not find any high sharpes here which worked out-of-sample going walk forward and also in live trading. I mean Thursday is the worst overnight 'day' if you go back. And also August is not a good month for overnight trading when you have backtested it. So it is usually better to avoid those days and months. So do you implement some turn-of-month and Turnaround Tuesday in your overnight trading especially when you do some position sizing here as an example or how do you achieve a high sharpe ratio here if ?
     
    Last edited: Aug 11, 2022
    #217     Aug 11, 2022
  8. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Try to find a carriage return, or two, next time. Easier on the old eyes.
     
    #218     Aug 11, 2022
  9. Today's close. Can't wait to see the overnight gang go to work.. Tomorrow morning the financial media will be telling everyone.....LOOKS LIKE A HIGHER OPEN ON WALL STREET....blah blah blah same thing over and over.



    Screenshot 2022-08-11 154450.jpg
     
    #219     Aug 11, 2022
  10. TrAndy2022

    TrAndy2022

    Why do you think the overnight edge is good to trade in August ? August is one of the worst month statistically backtested for the overnight edge. How do you assure for yourself a high sharpe ratio here ? Do you really trade mainly overnight edge only ?
     
    #220     Aug 11, 2022