"The only way to trade with Fibonaccis" journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by 1a2b3cppp, Mar 6, 2010.

  1. 7/29:

    SPY: -$6,066
    hedge: $1,360.68

    Net:
    -$4,705.32 (unrealized)
    +$1,223.60 (realized)
    --------------------
    -$3,481.72

    That doesn't include the $1,130 or so dividend that is going to be paid for my SPY position soon.

    Next long entry point is still $124.10.
     
    #371     Jul 29, 2011
  2. Mostly because I felt like it. I cannot predict where price is going to go so I never know when the best time is to close it. Back on 6/15 the hedge was up around $5,379. I should've closed it then. But I didn't know if it was going to keep going up or down or what. Plus, I moved and we had those big up days in a row and my SPY position was way up in a matter of days. There's no way of knowing how big of swings price is going to make.

    I'd rather close it for a bit of profit than for a loss.

    I mean, it really doesn't matter, though. I will end this trade net profitable no matter where price goes and no matter when I close the hedge, so any positive hedge profit is extra bottom line profit in the end.

    I'm thinking actually maybe I should make my next buy point at the 100 line of where I originally drew the first fib lines. I'd be buying some soon, and it would lower my average close sooner than waiting to see if price hits $124.10 where my next buy line is. And then I could potentially lower the profit target cuz who knows when price is going to get back up to $137 where my current sell area is? Or maybe I should just ask one of those people who claims to be able to predict price.

    edit:

    If I were to buy 1,400 @ $128.50, that would put my average cost at around $130.86. So then I could make the target profit 133 or so for a net of $6,848 from the SPY, plus the $1,223 from the hedge, plus whatever is left of the hedge, plus the $1,130 dividend.

    Of course, if I do that, then SPY will probably go to 137 the following day. Cuz that's how it works :D
     
    #372     Jul 29, 2011
  3. Dividend was paid yesterday.

    1,800 shares @ .62762 = $1,129.72

    As of 7/30:

    Open positions:

    SPY: -$6,066
    hedge: $1,360.68

    Net for this trade:
    -$4,705.32 (unrealized)
    +$1,223.60 (realized)
    +$1,129.72 (dividend)
    --------------------
    -$2,352
     
    #373     Jul 30, 2011
  4. limit order to buy 1,400 @ $127.

    Still 53 cents away from today's low.
     
    #374     Aug 1, 2011
  5. 8/1:

    SPY: -$7,056
    Hedge: $1,560.09


    Net for this trade:
    -$5,495.91 (unrealized)
    +$1,223.60 (realized)
    +$1,129.72 (dividend)
    --------------------
    -$3,142.59
     
    #375     Aug 1, 2011
  6. long 1,400 @ $127 today.

    SPY position 3,200 shares @ avg cost of $130.21

    Also bought back another 1172 shares of SH (the same amount I just sold a few days ago when I closed half the hedge) @ $42.38 for the hedge.
     
    #376     Aug 2, 2011
  7. 8/2:

    SPY: -$15,104
    Hedge: $3,417.64

    Net for this trade:
    -$11,686.36 (unrealized)
    +$1,223.60 (realized)
    +$1,129.72 (dividend)
    --------------------
    -$9,333.04
     
    #377     Aug 2, 2011
  8. lol, look at price fall.

    Next buy is going to be at $120.
     
    #378     Aug 3, 2011
  9. Hammer outta nowhere!

    8/3:

    SPY: -$12,928
    hedge: $2,854.84

    Net for this trade:
    -$10,073.16 (unrealized)
    +$1,223.60 (realized)
    +$1,129.72 (dividend)
    --------------------
    -$7,719.84
     
    #379     Aug 3, 2011
  10. Next buy is 2,000 shares at $120.
     
    #380     Aug 4, 2011