the Nut Trade in stock (comparable to the Nut hand in poker)

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by marketdecoder, Dec 19, 2013.

  1. You don't trade a production account yet you're offering a timing service? I think that you should offer a disclosure that you're not actually trading production and that these are hypothetical results.
     
    #71     Apr 23, 2014
  2. it is also worth noting that the chart is a web chart with real time price as the needle moving back and forth in real time like a speedometer in the car, so it reflects in real time distance from waiting entry and its action upon touching it. Once a while i will simulate the poker card set up just like in the game to reflect the nut more clearly.

    I also will develop an interface for smartwatch such as Omate truesmart to display the nut trade call chart here like on mobile phone as this watch is a true phone with 3g /wifi data connection that run a full blown android. Matter of fact, i will equip this watch to a small team of dedicated trader who work closely with the nut call in near future as it served well for always on instant access point, where you can forget your phone some where and won't see the call coming in, since all call are delivered via text messaging in real time.

    Drownpruf, i did put this hypothetical result on the risk disclosure statement at the general website, but thanks for the tip. Also, for each trade i do give out suggested volume , and the percent division on each entry is the volume you can manually calculate based on this suggested volume, though upon get a solid feel of the call, you can do much higher volume. As for the history of the call you can check out here the past 4 months at http://www.thenut-trader.com/nuts/history_phone.asp . It breaks down details of the planned volume and the percent get executed based on market touching or not. A call on the history will be labeled as Not touch, win base, win bonus 1, win bonus 2, lose base, lose bonus, and its number calculation of point win and actual USD win based on percent volume executed. So whatever you see on the final calculation , it is very close to actual result if you are to trade suggested total volume or higher.

    P.S stock trading is competition among traders so it will be limited down the road that i set the number of trader following the call, and will aim at more serious dedicated trader only after trialing period, where forex and gold will aim to everyone. The content of the call is very easily copied and distributed freely which i am very aware, but my vision for the nut trade is more than just the fee that associated with the system, that upon this in place, i will no longer delivering the call , but during this time, i will dedicate my time to do it until moment notice.
     
    #72     Apr 23, 2014
  3. OK
     
    #73     Apr 23, 2014
  4. On the final note, the fee associated with the nut call is to reflect the quality i felt it deserved with reasonable suggested trading volume for serious trader. But for my part, it is only collectible on monthly basis if the Actual USD profit (based on suggested trading volume with percent volume executed) is at least 3 times the fee at the moment, and 4-5 times down the road . If not, no fee will be collected for the month at the end of each month after assessing the number achieved. The history section will show you these number for any giving month based on suggested volume. So to earn it during the time while i am delivering the call, it must follow that policy each month and payment processed via paypal at the end of each month.

    More importantly I am also assembling a team of struggling trader in forex/gold/stock to train them to be a much better prepared trader than they are now and they will not pay any fee following the Nut call with realistic goal of recovering their lost money in the past , and down the road there will no fee associated with this group whatsoever. It is my passion toward trading and the understanding of the struggle in trading world that i initiate this group (5 traders right now so far) . Those who are willing to go through the training will make it in the trading world for a long time with a very solid mentality, patience and capable brain that trading will become a stable job with the new well trained brain. The team will work closely with me via the Nut trade call that i will continue to deliver even when i pause to other paid user down the road. Just a head up on this initiative, that i will detail a bit more upon more solid ground work is in place.
     
    #74     Apr 23, 2014
  5. SPRT dropped about 1.5 points early from our entry anticipation from 41, as it dropped today to 36.7 low from 39.4 high area yesterday. This call was in place on the real time link yesterday as i was waiting for it to get to 40+ area to make the post here at ET. Still now, if it get to 44 area, This is an excellent short going into next month from 44-48-50 area with very sizable drop from here, where SANM is still waiting buy from 19.4-18 area valid only this week.

    P.S i am also in process of funding a 25k stock daytrading account at Interactive Brokers to participate with the call myself as drownpruf hinted at the need for a production account during the time i deliver the call in addition to my main trading on fx market. But in my opinion, an analyst may have a better clearer unbiased mindset when he doesn't trade as he is not under any pressure that can affect his judgement, but he must show good analysis skill and ethical conduct with dedication with his call.

    Analyzing is a different world from conducting the action , that is why you see many consulting company out there that just do the analyzing and advising part to company that carry out production, and just like CNBC forbid Cramer from making the trade with his recommendation within a specified period to make him more unbiased and at the same time have a better judgement. Those who participate with my calls, I recommend that you work with Interactive Brokers as it had plenty of shares to sell short on almost all stocks i looked at vs. etrade and tdamerica with nil whenver i asked my friends to check, and my specialty is selling short on pullback that my calls will be at 3:1 ratio on sell short vs. buy long.

    In addition to the live real time calls link with the current system and mobile phone notification, i am considering setting up another thread name "the other 90 nut calls in stock" to make it 100 , it will be a marathon and 100 calls is a good number (publicly on record at ET) to assess the much clearer look at the accuracy consistent once for all vs. 10 i initial plan to do in stock. At this point, i am quite familiar with the way stock run vs. Fx and just need to work a bit on more aggressive entry, other than that everything already become eye-brain memory when i look at a chart (my setup) just like an athlete with well trained muscle memory making consistent good shot in basketball or good throw in football.
     
    #75     Apr 24, 2014
  6. i am attaching the full round chart nut call Details on SRPT , SANM and CLFD vs. the horizontal brief summary chart on waiting list link (there are 2 type of chart being used for mobile vs. pc/tablet mode)

    I think anybody would get a very solid feel of the call with this chart, especially when it is live with the needle moving back and forth to reflect the distance (where this one is just a snapshot). These chart will automatically update the moment there is any change from me, where in forum, i had to go in and make a different post. It show very clear in mobile phone that my friends come to love the way the chart present the call detail with live market price via the needle moving.

    Sometimes the call is only valid intraday like CLFD, that with this real time system, i can just clear out the number, without having to repost anything, and that is how i really prefer to do the calling.

    Also i am giving the link for a web app for mobile phone for mobile referencing now or later where any call details will be text in real time to your phone . http://www.thenut-trader.com/nuts/thenutapp.asp .
     
    #76     Apr 24, 2014
  7. The notification system that follow the call on CLFD sent out a waiting text earlier today that i can view via the Omate Truesmart watch since this watch is a full feature phone that receive SMS and making call and run full android 4.2. Basically, i receive the text on the watch, click on the link, and the nut viewer appears.
    This is really cool tech that really defines the meaning of convenience and instant access . Check out the shot of the call on the watch that i were wearing. You can see clearly the detail of the call on its 240 pixels interface, and this is one interface that i will work with in addition to mobile phone.

    This is not only cool, but also is practical as well since you view the detail on one arm, while execute the trade on the other hand holding a mobile phone running trading app, in addition to provide a true convenient instant access point to the call.

    P.S YELP is approaching 50s area, that i will wait more to 40s area before making a call on BUY, but at this point there are plenty of opportunity for daytrading other stocks on daily basis, where i will make a medium/long term for a longer hold time frame upon the best entry.
     
    #77     Apr 26, 2014
  8. Hi Guys,
    It 's been 2 years since my last post on this stock thread , recently i wrapped up 10 calls on Forex that i said 100% gonna run and it all did, so i finished what i set out to do on FX thread as i promised before to this thread. I am seriously thinking about going deeper into stock as the long game since it doesn't deal with the complication in FX volume management which affected greatly by state of emotion. All these the nut thread are meant to elevate my skill and to continue sharpen what i have decoded so far. I will come back to this thread and give out another 10 calls to see how consistent i am currently i stock analysis after being away for 2 years. Just a quick brief, the past 2 years, the analysis engine were further fine tuned with higher precision and timing and i will say 100% sure without reservation as expression of how strong i felt in connection with that call instead of calling it the Nut.

    Call 1.
    Tesla is enjoying a great order number on S 3 model and fundamentally will run up in long term down the road. After a run up the past 2 months on anticipation of model 3 to prep for further run, as decent as it is on fundamental analysis, Technically it is due for a small pullback down next month.

    We are still early for the month, but i am looking into this short toward end of month. If it happen to touch 268-277 before end month, you can accumulate the short. Directional down movement begin next month, i am 100% sure. Entry short point that i mentioned is excellent entry. Target i am expecting around 235-240 (about 10-15% gain).

    Upon done with this pullback, i'll give the call on Buying to prepare for a further run up on Push call, where this call is Pullback call.

    in summary, 100% will go down next month (or early this month).
    Sell 270-277 excellent entry , any further up entry will give me more gain upon pullback as plan,
    Target 235-240 - 100% will touch


    The next 9 calls, i will not give much analysis, as i did on 1st call, just to let u know that i am aware of its fundamental long term, but in whatever term, the market will always stick with its orderly movement from what i have decoded and understood about the market in FX , now i just continue to apply in stock analysis.

    Again, i have my eye on stock market for the long game,now i just resharpen my analysis in stock with the next 10 calls that i will assess 100% sure. Previously i use the Nut term to say this, but now i am just gonna say 100% sure as that is how strong i feel about certain call. At this time, I will look for stock analysis over the weekend for the next 10 calls , so expect 1 call per week if i can find something over each weekend.

    Another brief: Pullback call: i am 100% sure on directional movement of up/down, and 100% sure on target it will land, entry from good to excellent (not 100% sure)

    Push call (trend): i am 100% sure on directional movement of up/down, and 100% sure on entry it will push from, target good to excellent (not 100% sure)

    P.S the reason i choose Tesla (TSLA) on short against fundamentally sound with good momentum that everybody expect to go up, is to prove the precision of technical analysis part of its movement that any instrument (whether it is stock, fx, index) must obey within that fundamental movement. My first call was Short facebook (which everybody was saying i was crazy), and it did drop before moving up. So same thing to TSLA and on any call that i will make down the road.
     
    #78     Apr 9, 2016
  9. I was going to give a call on Sell Apple with target 110 down the road on this weekend, but it already ran on Friday, so i gonna replace with NFLX , netflix while TSLA call is still in effect until next month.

    this is preliminary estimate on this 2nd call that i will continue to update toward end of this month

    call 2.
    Sell 115 - 127 with target estimated 105-107 area. I am 100% sure the downward movement will happpen within next few weeks after end of this month. The higher it goes toward 127, the better the profit will be . 100% target to touch will be update precisely around end of this month. But if you are thinking of shorting NFLX around the range of entry that i mentioned, it is good to do so and i will further update this call 2 end of this month on target, where entry and downward directional stay in effect within the next 2 months.

    I am giving this out first so it won't run like AAPL did before i get a chance to send out. So this is a pending call but will be in effect for entry where 100% target will be update later as the current run up for this month is done.

    I am monitoring VRTX and STX for a chance to continue to sell with current pushing for the year among random stock that i will take a look at on weekend basis at this point.
     
    #79     Apr 16, 2016