Ok, I'm going to throw some ideas out there of how I feel the markets and the economy might play out over the next year and a half. I'm not "predicting" anything or saying this will definitely happen, but based upon the political and economic frameworks in existence today, I have a gut feeling it might play out to something close along this line. Like I said in a thread about a month and a half ago, I believe we're in a bear market. Over the next 11 months, there is going to be extreme attention paid to the economy by both Democrats and Republicans. They both have a lot to lose if the economy is in bad shape come October. They'll both take credit if the economy is good, and they'll both blame each other if its bad. Neither of them wants to be in the position of being the responsible party for bad news. So, right now, the economy is in rough shape. High inflation and low growth. There's a good chance we are in a recession. Still, over the next 2-4 weeks, I see a spike happening and then some sideways action to again have new lows in March and April. Come May, I think the political machines are going to go full boar. May through October and perhaps to the end of the year, I think there's a good chance that we rally as every possible political tool is used to stabalize the economy. I don't believe it will be completely successful though and I see us perhaps crashing again at the end of the year through the first half of next year. After the "bear" finally is able to get it of its system after the election. IMO, come the middle of next year, that's when we'll start to see the real recovery with some sideways action for a few months and then a new bull market. Now don't flame me. These are just some of my thoughts of how I "feel" the market might behave based on what I see economically and politically.