The mother of all shorts is building: 30-year T-Bond

Discussion in 'Trading' started by bond tr4der, Dec 4, 2008.

  1. As promised news of top broke out on RFT's blog.
     
    #21     Dec 5, 2008
  2. Re-read what RFT wrote last night! Prophetic. And it was like a bunker buster!


    RFT (the person who nails tops and bottom without fail has done it again)
    :cool:
     
    #22     Dec 5, 2008
  3. S2007S

    S2007S

    The 30 year bond is the lowest on record going back to 1977...



    My choice of pick to play this bubble...



    TBT

    Trading around $44 would wait for the dip below $40.00 and begin to buy.
     
    #23     Dec 5, 2008
  4. mike007

    mike007

    I just bought TLT Jan 100 Puts. Death to TLT
     
    #24     Dec 5, 2008
  5. You did not read my post on my blog? Do not buy puts, sell ITM calls (because premium is high).
     
    #25     Dec 5, 2008
  6. I don't like the liquidity on TBT. The tape is way too slow there most of the time. Might be right about the long trade, but if you need to smack a bid, there's no depth there. Also, I wouldn't discount completely the risk in the ETF instrument itself.
     
    #26     Dec 5, 2008
  7. you are very savvy to consider the risk of instrument itself.

    there is a way to address that particular point, which has other advantages (PS: Shortie: You know what I am alluding to. Pls. do not disclose as per our agreement in PM exchanges).
     
    #27     Dec 5, 2008
  8. Yup just a matter of time. JGB rates were 9% in 1989 and where are they now, 19 years later? LOL
     
    #28     Dec 5, 2008
  9. R U guys still bullish on bonds? As for RFT, you know his point of view. Short as of Friday december 05 at about 1PM (read post on his financialtraders blog, a copy of which has been included in previous page).

    Bears and bulls: please make/revisit your case in light of today's market actions on bonds?
     
    #29     Dec 8, 2008
  10. tradersboredom

    tradersboredom Guest

    IF BONDS YIELD 10% THE ECONOMY IS BOOMING!!!
     
    #30     Dec 8, 2008