The Misbegotten Policies of the Second Trump Administration

Discussion in 'Politics' started by gwb-trading, Nov 9, 2024.

  1. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    It's hard to find the words to describe how demented it is to declare a national emergency so you can apply punitive tariffs which will tank our economy. I expect Trump will also declare a national emergency so he can round up immigrants and minorities.

    Trump is considering a national economic emergency declaration to allow for new tariff program, sources say
    https://www.cnn.com/2025/01/08/economy/trump-national-economic-emergency-tariffs/index.html

    President-elect Donald Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal justification for a large swath of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries, four sources familiar with the matter told CNN, as Trump seeks to reset the global balance of trade in his second term.

    The declaration would allow Trump to construct a new tariff program by using the International Economic Emergency Powers Act, known as “IEEPA,” which unilaterally authorizes a president to manage imports during a national emergency.

    Trump, one of the sources noted, has a fondness for the law, since it grants wide-ranging jurisdiction over how tariffs are implemented without strict requirements to prove the tariffs are needed on national security grounds.

    “Nothing is off the table,” said a second source familiar with the matter, acknowledging the robust discussion over declaring a national emergency that has taken place.

    The Trump transition team did not respond to a request for comment.

    In 2019, Trump used IEEPA to threaten a 5% tariff on all Mexican imports that would rise to 25% if Mexico declined to take action to reduce the number of undocumented immigrants crossing the border with the United States.

    After Mexican officials traveled to Washington for a week of in-person negotiations – and an agreement was reached to reinstate the “Remain in Mexico” immigration policy – the tariffs were never implemented. But the specter of the potential action, predicated by a national emergency Trump had declared on the southern border three months earlier, led prominent business lobbying groups like the Chamber of Commerce and the Business Roundtable to prepare lawsuits challenging the legality of such a move.

    No final decision has been made on whether to declare a national emergency, sources told CNN. Trump’s team is still exploring other legal avenues to buttress the tariffs that Trump pitched on the campaign trail.

    “I think the president has broad authority to impose tariffs for a variety of reasons, and there are a number of statutory bases to do so,” said Kelly Ann Shaw, a trade attorney who served as Trump’s deputy assistant for international economic affairs. “IEEPA is certainly one of them.”

    Trump’s advisers are evaluating the possibility of using section 338 of US trade law, which allows a president to impose “new or additional duties” against countries deemed to be discriminating against the commerce of the United States. In those cases, trade law permits the president to impose new tariffs in direct reciprocation against those countries in specific product categories – though it’s been untested in recent history.

    They’re also considering revisiting the trade law – known as section 301 – that ushered in Trump’s initial tariffs on China on national security grounds. The Biden administration left the vast majority of Trump’s tariffs in place – and increased tariffs on certain products like electric vehicles – providing a basis for the incoming president to increase or adjust the tariffs as he sees fit. But implementing tariffs under this statute requires a government investigation, and companies affected by the changes often lobby for months to be excluded from the levies.

    If Trump opted to declare a national economic emergency, which could be put into effect quickly, it’s unclear what evidence he would cite. During a press conference on Tuesday, Trump acknowledged the inherent strength of the economy, criticizing inflation but also saying, “Over the next four years the United States is going to take off like a rocket ship. But really it’s already doing it.” Trump pointed to surging economic approval ratings in recent polls.

    Supporters of the tariffs say they’re essential for boosting US manufacturing.

    “The Trump team understands we have to rebuild our industrial capacity for reasons of economic and national security, and it will be good for communities and American workers,” said Nick Iacovella, Senior Vice President, Coalition for a Prosperous America. “To accomplish those goals, you absolutely have to have a robust, pro-American trade policy that includes tariffs.”
     
    #81     Jan 8, 2025
  2. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Trump desperately searching for a disease that can be used as an excuse to close the Southern border.

    Trump ‘searching for disease to justify sealing off US-Mexico border’
    President wants to declare a public health emergency to expel migrants, it was reported
    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/poli...rump-mexico-border-migrants-disease-title-42/


    At the same time, his MAGA supporters think norovirus is fake and nobody needs to isolate if they have it. Thy should just wander around town and the workplace... and widely spread it to others.

    Conservatives Roasted After Claiming Warnings About Massive Surge In Norovirus Is A 'Scam'
    https://www.comicsands.com/conservatives-norovirus-warnings-scam
     
    #82     Jan 10, 2025
  3. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Plans that include slashing Medicare and Social Security are not going be well received by the public and will leave many seniors in poverty. Likely ensuring open civil unrest if implemented that will take the GOP out of power for a generation.

    'Slashing welfare': GOP eyes chopping $5 trillion to pay for Trump priorities — like tax cuts
    https://www.alternet.org/gop-welfare-tax-cuts/

    Leaked GOP list outlines plan to cut $479B from Medicare: Politico
    https://www.rawstory.com/medicare-cuts-2670794479/
     
    #83     Jan 11, 2025
  4. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    #84     Jan 11, 2025
  5. ipatent

    ipatent

    Good, he'll be off to a quick start.
     
    #85     Jan 11, 2025
  6. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    So we can expect all of this done within 24 hours of his inauguration, eh?

    Here are 11 things Trump has promised to carry out on Day 1 of his presidency
    https://www.yahoo.com/news/11-things-trump-promised-carry-120000912.html

    President-elect Donald Trump spent the past two years on the campaign trail making more than a dozen promises about what he would enact on his first day in office.

    Trump’s day-one plans are wide-reaching, calling for the mass deportation of undocumented immigrants, sweeping tariffs that economists have warned could have drastic and harmful effects on the U.S. economy and pardons of defendants charged in the attack on the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.

    On the first day of his previous term, Trump signed just one executive order, which targeted Obamacare. Here are some of Trump’s most notable day-one promises this time around.

    Immigration
    Begin a mass deportation program
    As he did during his previous campaigns, Trump made immigration the centerpiece of his 2024 pitch, repeatedly vowing to deport undocumented migrants. On Oct. 27, just days before the election, Trump reiterated during a rally in New York City, “On day one, I will launch the largest deportation program in American history to get the criminals out.”

    In 2022, the number of undocumented migrants living in the U.S. stood at nearly 11 million according to a federal estimate, though the exact number is unknown. Fewer than 500,000 undocumented immigrants are known to have a criminal background, as of September, according to a letter to Congress from U.S. Immigrations and Customs Enforcement.

    When asked in November about the cost of a mass deportation plan, Trump told NBC News that “it’s not a question of a price tag.” That same month, Trump confirmed a post by another Truth Social user, who wrote that the Trump administration would be “prepared to declare a national emergency and will use military assets” for a deportation program. Trump shared the post, writing, “TRUE!!!”

    End birthright citizenship
    Anyone who is born in the U.S. is automatically granted citizenship, a right laid out in the 14th Amendment. Trump wants to change it, a logistically difficult operation that would almost certainly lead to legal battles. In a December interview on NBC News’ “Meet the Press,” moderator Kristen Welker asked Trump whether it was still his plan to end birthright citizenship on day one. Trump said, “Absolutely.”

    End Biden-era border policies
    Trump has issued broad pushback to President Joe Biden’s immigration policies, vowing to use his first day in office to “terminate every open-borders policy of the Biden administration.” Trump also said during a New Hampshire campaign event in October that he would “use Title 42,” a public health law that was implemented toward the start of the Covid-19 crisis and allowed the White House to deport migrants faster. The law was continued partway through the Biden administration but the government stopped using it in 2023.

    Democracy
    Pardon Jan. 6 defendants
    On numerous occasions, Trump has said he would quickly pardon people convicted for their role in the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol. When NBC News’ Welker asked Trump in December about his timeline for pardons, he said, “I’m looking first day.” He went further in an interview with Time magazine published last month, saying, “I’ll be looking at J6 early on, maybe the first nine minutes.” In a January press conference, Trump was asked if he was looking to pardon Jan. 6 defendants who were charged with violent crimes. Trump said, “We’re looking at it,” adding that he intended to make “major pardons.”

    More than 1,580 defendants have been charged and more than 1,270 convicted in the Jan. 6 investigation, on charges ranging from unlawful parading to seditious conspiracy. There are more than 700 defendants who either received sentences that included no prison time or who have already completed their sentences, meaning Trump could theoretically pardon hundreds of Jan. 6 defendants without much of a practical impact.

    Just a handful of Jan. 6 defendants remained detained pretrial at the order of a federal judge, while all other incarcerated Jan. 6 defendants have been sentenced to prison after their conviction, when they either admitted they committed the crimes they were charged with, or when a judge or jury found them guilty beyond a reasonable doubt.

    Foreign policy
    Ending the war in Ukraine
    One of Trump’s most audacious promises was that he could end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours of taking office — or even before.

    “That is a war that’s dying to be settled. I will get it settled before I even become president,” Trump said during a September debate with Vice President Kamala Harris in Philadelphia.

    “I know [Ukrainian President Volodymyr] Zelenskyy very well, and I know [Russian President Vladimir] Putin very well. I have a good relationship and they respect your president, OK, they respect me. They don’t respect Biden,” Trump added.

    During remarks to the press at Mar-a-Lago in January, Trump was asked when he plans to meet with Putin to discuss an end to the Ukraine war. Trump said it would be inappropriate to hold the meeting ahead of his Jan. 20 inauguration.

    Economy
    Implement tariffs
    Weeks after his election, Trump promised that he would sign an executive order to implement a 25% tariff on products imported from Mexico and Canada, two of America’s biggest trading partners.

    “On January 20th, as one of my many first Executive Orders, I will sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States, and its ridiculous Open Borders,” Trump said in a post on Truth Social on Nov. 25.

    Trump had previously proposed 10% tariffs across the board, but his November comments about the two U.S. allies went further. During his campaign, Trump referred to tariffs as “the most beautiful word in the entire dictionary of words.”

    Economists have warned that consumers could bear the brunt of sweeping tariffs, which may lead to higher prices. Companies could respond to tariffs by buying a product in the U.S. rather than from another country, or they may raise prices for consumers to offset the cost of the tariff. Alan Deardorff, an economist at the University of Michigan, had previously told NBC News that Trump’s tariffs “are like a sales tax, in the sense that consumers everywhere are going to end up paying.”

    Cancel the electric vehicle 'mandate'
    In 2021, Biden signed an order setting a nationwide goal aiming for 50% of new cars and trucks sold by 2030 to be zero-emission. In March, the Environmental Protection Agency finalized tailpipe emission limits, and electric vehicles were expected to help meet the goals. California also has a law dictating that all new car sales in the state be zero-emission by 2035.

    Trump has painted them all with a broad brush, referring to them as “electric vehicle mandates,” though no one is required to buy a certain car. In November, at a campaign event in Houston, he reiterated his promise, saying, “The day I take office, I will cancel Crooked Joe’s electric vehicle mandate.”

    Drill, drill, drill
    One of Trump’s most frequent promises, repeated in almost every campaign speech, is the commitment to increase oil drilling in the United States.

    In a town hall interview with Fox News host Sean Hannity in December, Trump said he would not be a dictator "except for day one," clarifying that he intends to use that authority to “close the border” and “drill, drill, drill” on his first day in office. Trump has routinely claimed increasing U.S. oil production would drastically reduce energy costs.

    Last month, incoming Trump press secretary Karoline Leavitt told Fox News that he would get to work on this within seconds of arriving in the Oval Office.

    Leavitt promised the administration would “expedite permits for drilling and for fracking all over this country so we can immediately bring down the cost of living.”

    In 2023, U.S. energy production exceeded consumption by a record amount, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

    'Made in America' auto industry
    Trump said during a rally in September that “a vote for President Trump means the future of the automobile will be made in America.” He forecast that the auto industry would be “fueled by American energy,” “sourced by American suppliers” and built by American laborers. He added, “It’s going to happen, and we’ll do it. First day in office.”

    In recent years, major auto companies have laid off thousands of workers, though in January, General Motors and Ford Motor reported their best domestic vehicle sales since 2019.

    Transgender rights
    Limit participation in women’s sports
    Trump has repeatedly referred to transgender women as men, vowing to his supporters that he will ensure transgender women cannot compete in women’s sports. In an October speech in West Palm Beach, he said, “I will keep men out of women’s sports, 100%, immediately, first day.” During the same speech, he vowed to sign an executive order on his first day in office to cut federal funding for schools “pushing critical race theory, transgender insanity and other inappropriate racial, sexual or political content to our beautiful children.”

    End gender-affirming care practices
    Trump has also frequently railed against gender-affirming care, which can include hormone therapy. During the Biden administration, the White House has provided resources and guidance to ensure accessibility and information about the care options. Trump said in a video posted to his campaign website on Feb. 1, 2023, that “on day one, I will revoke Joe Biden’s cruel policies on so-called ‘gender affirming care.’”

    This article was originally published on NBCNews.com
     
    #86     Jan 16, 2025
  7. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    So ICE is basically telling the GOP that the U.S. cannot afford the cost to deport the illegal immigrants.

    ICE Warns Republicans’ Racist Immigration Bill Is a Total Bust
    Not even U.S. immigration officials think the Laken Riley Act is a good idea.
    https://newrepublic.com/post/190354/ice-republicans-laken-riley-act-cost

    Republicans’ prized immigration bill, the Laken Riley Act, is apparently too expensive to implement, according to U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

    A new memo from ICE has been circulating in Senate offices that spells out the staggering cost of carrying out the bill if it were signed into law: $86 billion over three years, far exceeding House Republicans’ estimate last week of $3 billion per year. The memo gives a line-by-line assessment of the agency’s capacity to implement the act, saying that “full implementation would be impossible for ICE to execute within existing resources.”



    If passed, the bill would allow the detention of undocumented immigrants merely suspected of committing a nonviolent crime, with no protections for children or DACA recipients, also known as Dreamers. The House has already voted to approve the bill, with 48 Democrats joining every Republican to send the bill to the Senate, where it is currently being debated after a Thursday vote was postponed.

    More than 70 amendments to the bill have been filed, delaying its passage further. The bill enjoys support from Senate Democrats as well, and even has two Democratic cosponsors in Ruben Gallego and John Fetterman. Among some of the most egregious (and expensive) parts of the bill is the power it grants to state and local governments to help carry out immigrant detention, and some of the amendments concern that provision.

    In Republican-led states such as Florida, Republican leaders are offering their resources to assist in detaining immigrants in accordance with this bill, as well as Donald Trump’s plans for mass deportation. But as this memo from ICE shows, the Laken Riley Act will result in chaos and massive costs for the U.S. immigration system, no matter how many states are on board. Ultimately, conservatives’ immigration dreams are just expensive fantasies.
     
    #87     Jan 17, 2025
  8. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Where is Captain Obvious?

    Billionaire venture capitalist Marc Andreesen, a supporter of President-elect Donald Trump, acknowledged that the so-called Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) he's advising won't succeed in saving significant sums of money.

    'Maybe it won't work': Trump-backing billionaire says it's possible DOGE will flop
    https://www.rawstory.com/marc-andreesen-2670879644/
     
    #88     Jan 17, 2025
  9. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    This will go over real well in Chicago. I guess the incoming administration wants to cause chaos immediately.

    Trump Officials Plan Immigration Raids in Chicago Next Week
    The plan, called “Operation Safeguard” by Immigration and Customs Enforcement, would start on Tuesday, the day after President-elect Trump is inaugurated, and last until the following Monday, according to the people familiar with it and the correspondence.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/17/us/politics/trump-immigration-raids-chicago.html

    The incoming Trump administration intends to carry out “post-inauguration” immigration raids in Chicago next week, according to two people familiar with the planning and correspondence reviewed by The New York Times, an opening step in President-elect Donald J. Trump’s goal to oversee the largest deportation operation in American history.

    The plan, called “Operation Safeguard” by Immigration and Customs Enforcement, would start on Tuesday, the day after Mr. Trump is inaugurated, and last until the following Monday, according to the people familiar with it and the correspondence. The dates were still being finalized, however, and could change.

    The size of the planned operation was unclear. ICE routinely conducts deportations in cities throughout the United States. But the agency was taking additional steps to ramp up enforcement for the operation and tied it to Mr. Trump’s inauguration in a message sent to personnel throughout the agency.

    Hundreds of agents were asked to volunteer and participate in the “post-inauguration” operation targeting immigrants in the United States illegally. ICE is planning on sending roughly 150 agents to Chicago for the raids.

    For Mr. Trump, the optics of immigration agents sporting ballistic gear and arresting immigrants with uncertain or contested status in a Democratic-led city could be enough. The incoming administration is eager to find ways to send a message that it is cracking down on undocumented immigrants and punishing so-called sanctuary cities — communities like Chicago that refuse to hand over immigrants detained by the police to federal immigration authorities.

    Don Terry, a spokesman for the Chicago police, said the department would not “intervene or interfere with any other government agencies performing their duties,” but said that it “does not document immigration status” and “will not share information with federal immigration authorities.”
     
    #89     Jan 18, 2025
  10. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    #90     Jan 18, 2025