"The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain liquid"

Discussion in 'Economics' started by vanzandt, Dec 22, 2018.

  1. vanzandt

    vanzandt


    Did that come up as 4 images? I was afraid of that. That wasn't intentional. My browser acted it like it didn't want to upload the images, I tried 3X and then finally just pasted a sceengrab.
    My bad if you see 4 images. I see just one image with the 3 (IMG)'s as below:

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    upload_2018-12-24_8-54-19.png
     
    #41     Dec 24, 2018
  2. They

    They

    If market moves in an organized fashion in a constricted price range we scalp it using tight stops with an automated order algorithm.
     
    #42     Dec 24, 2018
  3. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Told ya'll so.
     
    #43     Dec 26, 2018
    murray t turtle likes this.
  4. destriero

    destriero

    lol the market rallies 6% today and this call is STILL UNDERWATER. HTF do you do it, vanzandt?
     
    #44     Dec 26, 2018
    murray t turtle likes this.
  5. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    Which call? Must've missed it
     
    #45     Dec 26, 2018
    vanzandt likes this.
  6. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Somebody better poke that bear.
    :D
     
    #46     Dec 27, 2018
  7. Carlll

    Carlll

    Markets have always moved from extreme optimism to extreme pessimism. Those are somehow normal cycles in almost every country with open economy. What I see today is more related to short term market correction moved by news on FED rate decision, rather than some sort of market pessimism
     
    #47     Jan 30, 2019
  8. You buy value.
    Anything with a PE north of 50 is coming down.
    In 2008, it was brutal. Some high flyers took 50% haircuts...... That era's equivalent of faang. But low PE companies that had tangible future growth like MCD, ROST, Amgen, Panera... they were up for the year.
    Trade what you see. But lets not tell our not so sanguine friends and family the sky is falling and they need to be all cash or buying gold for Christsake.... because America is just fine. Look around. "Feel the economy". :D
    (queue Lee Greenwood)[/QUOTE]
    %%
    Carl Ichan + Jim Rogers have done well with value stocks;
    most do not.Good points , Vanzandt,on MCD........................................................

    But the most common pattern i see in the markets, is a low PE goes lower; sure there are some exceptions like MCD....
    QQQ sure went down more,than AMGN ,in 3 year bear of 2000. QQQ/tech almost always has a higher PE; grows more. But i see more fake news in WSJ, pretending a low PE is a buy LOL. Or WSJ pretending 30 old companies should be a buy 'cause of low PE.And PE were @record highs @ early 2009.........

    Did make money off a low PE trade, but only because i tried to find something wrong with it + never could find something wrong with it.LOL . Carl Ichan/value has the unusual/strange habit of announcing his buys with plenty of uptrend left in them+ he has done that well for decades:cool:. NOT a prediction
     
    #48     Jan 30, 2019
    vanzandt likes this.
  9. ironchef

    ironchef

    He wants to leave something for us small retail traders.
     
    #49     Jan 30, 2019
    murray t turtle likes this.