wasnt it "risk free trades" by the banks and hedge funds that created this whole mess in the first place????
Well I did not think bonds were a bubble last year. Now, I do.Time will tell my friend.. Eventually printing money in the system and a slight economic recovery will result in higher yields.
ralph00 mentioned a great way to play it on the institutional side and I mentioned a way to play it on the retail side. That is it.. To play means in my book is a trade with your risk capital only and long term..
I have been waiting on TLT the 20yr treasury ETF to show some signs of weakness. I think it may get to the 115 to 120 range before the bubble pops. It is pretty well optionable so i will be looking at puts. Right now just waiting for the right time.
Its a fundamental play, Macky. Just like your "Zero Risk" S&P 500 bet! Sure, you were a wee bit off with timing, but I'm sure the Market will bottom soon! On a serious note, some fundamental signals should precede a top - namely, bank lending, restoration of consumer credit, thawing of credit markets, signs of recovery etc etc. But I'm sure you already knew that!
Obviously not you for starting such a stupid thread!! http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showt...85694&perpage=6&highlight=houses&pagenumber=1 "Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$" LOL Makes me laugh, every time I read it! Btw, whats "Clown Trading"??