The Intra-Day Momentum Method ~ S & P 500

Discussion in 'Strategy Building' started by trhudson, Aug 26, 2015.


    The Intra-day Momentum Method was designed to help determine the best way to trade a particular stock / ETF, whether it is trend-following or reversion to the mean, in connection with a low-to-mid frequency intra-day trade. In order to determine which method had worked best over time, I created an algorithm that would find a measurement in price from the Open where the Close of the day had historically been above this level for Longs or below this level for Shorts approximately 50% of the time, for many stocks. *The ability of a stock to move plays an enormous role in this calculation. The ability to move is based on Price / Pattern / Volume. Stocks that do not move, will not likely close above / below the levels 50% of the time. Taking that into consideration, it is a valid approach to determining Intra-Day Direction, as the research indicates. If either level, ML 1 or MS 1 has been reached, the stock has closed on that side of the open > 70% of the time. While this is by no means perfect, it certainly gives a trader a method for selecting stocks and entry points that have a reasonable chance for success. This method also gives the trader the ability to calculate risk before entering a trade. The Method was developed to adapt to market changes rather quickly as it takes into account price-action, patterns, and volume. On the link below, you will find the results from 3-19-15 to 8-11-15 from a list of 460 stocks from the S & P 500.