The Great Global Warming Swindle

Discussion in 'Politics' started by gwb-trading, Jan 30, 2013.



  1. Warming Temperatures—Continued global warming is virtually certain (or more than 99 percent likely to occur) at this point, leading to both good and bad impacts. On the positive side, fewer people will die from freezing temperatures and agricultural yield will increase in colder areas. The negatives include reduced crop production in the tropics and subtropics, increased insect outbreaks, diminished water supply caused by dwindling snowpack, and increasingly poor air quality in cities.

    Heat Waves—Scientists are more than 90 percent certain that episodes of extreme heat will increase worldwide, leading to increased danger of wildfires, human deaths and water quality issues such as algal blooms.

    Heavy Rains—Scientific estimates suggest that extreme precipitation events—from downpours to whiteouts—are more than 90 percent likely to become more common, resulting in diminished water quality and increased flooding, crop damage, soil erosion and disease risk.

    Drought—Scientists estimate that there is a more than 66 percent chance that droughts will become more frequent and widespread, making water scarcer, upping the risk of starvation through failed crops and further increasing the risk of wildfires.

    Stronger Storms—Warming ocean waters will likely increase the power of tropical cyclones (variously known as hurricanes and typhoons), raising the risk of human death, injury and disease as well as destroying coral reefs and property.

    Biodiversity—As many as a third of the species known to science may be at risk of extinction if average temperatures rise by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius.

    Sea Level Rise—The level of the world's oceans will rise, likely inundating low-lying land, turning freshwater brackish and potentially triggering widespread migration of human populations from affected areas.

    "As temperatures rise, thermal expansion will lead to sea-level rise, independent of melting ice," says chemical engineer Lenny Bernstein, another lead author of the recent IPCC report. "The indications are that this factor alone could cause serious problems [and] ice-sheet melting would greatly accelerate [it]."

    Such ice-sheet melting, which the IPCC explicitly did not include in its predictions of sea-level rise, has already been observed and may be speeding up, according to recent research that determined that the melting of Greenland's ice cap has accelerated to six times the average flow of the Colorado River. Research has also shown that the world has consistently emitted greenhouse gases at the highest projected levels examined and sea-level rise has also outpaced projections from the IPCC's last assessment in 2001.

    "We are above the high scenario now," says climatologist Stephen Schneider of Stanford University, an IPCC lead author. "This is not a safe world."

    Other recent findings include:

    Carbon Intensity Increasing—The amount of carbon dioxide per car built, burger served or widget sold had been consistently declining until the turn of the century. But since 2000, CO2 emissions have grown by more than 3 percent annually. This is largely due to the economic booms in China and India, which rely on polluting coal to power production. But emissions in the developed world have started to rise as well, increasing by 2.6 percent since 2000, according to reports made by those countries to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology also recently argued that U.S. emissions may continue to increase as a result of growing energy demand.

    Carbon Sinks Slowing—The world's oceans and forests are absorbing less of the CO2 released by human activity, resulting in a faster rise in atmospheric levels of greenhouse gases. All told, humanity released 9.9 billion metric tons (2.18 X 1013 pounds) of carbon in 2006 at the same time that the ability of the North Atlantic to take in such emissions, for example, dropped by 50 percent.

    Impacts Accelerating—Warming temperatures have prompted earlier springs in the far north and have caused plant species to spread farther into formerly icy terrain. Meanwhile, sea ice in the Arctic reached a record low this year, covering just 1.59 million square miles and thus shattering the previous 2005 minimum of 2.05 million square miles.

    "The observed rate of loss is faster than anything predicted," says senior research scientist Mark Serreze of the U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo. "We're already set up for another big loss next year. We've got so much open water in the Arctic now that has absorbed so much energy over the summer that the ocean has warmed. The ice that grows back this autumn will be thin."

    The negative consequences of such reinforcing, positive feedbacks (white ice is replaced by dark water, which absorbs more energy and prevents the formation of more white ice) remain even when they seemingly work in our favor.
     
    #351     Feb 12, 2013
  2. "Biodiversity—As many as a third of the species known to science may be at risk of extinction if average temperatures rise by more than 1.5 degrees Celsius."


    http://www.scientificamerican.com/a...-science-beyond-the-worst-climate-change-case



    We are going to blow right past 1.5 degrees C


    “Future warming likely to be on high side of climate projections,” concluded a new analysis by scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). And that “higher temperature rise would produce greater impacts on society in terms of sea level rise, heat waves, droughts, and other threats.”
    Many in the media have been getting this story wrong — unintentionally lowballing the future warming we should expect this century if the NCAR analysis is correct. For instance, the Washington Post writes, “the world could be in for a devastating increase of about eight degrees Fahrenheit by 2100, resulting in drastically higher seas, disappearing coastlines and more severe droughts, floods and other destructive weather.”
    Not quite. The news release makes clear that amount of warming would likely occur well before 2100. Since this confusion is quite common in climate coverage, I’ll quote at length from NCAR to set the record straight:
    The most common benchmark for comparing model projections is equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), or the amount of warming that eventually occurs in a model when carbon dioxide is doubled over preindustrial values. At current rates of global emission, that doubling will occur well before 2100.
    For more than 30 years, ECS in the leading models has averaged around 5 degrees Fahrenheit (3 degrees Celsius). This provides the best estimate of global temperature increase expected by the late 21st century compared to late 19th century values, assuming that society continues to emit significant amounts of carbon dioxide. However, the ECS within individual models is as low as 3 degrees F and as high as 8 degrees F.



    http://thinkprogress.org/climate/20...-extreme-warming-worse-droughts-this-century/
     
    #352     Feb 12, 2013
  3. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Actually over 50 Billion Dollars has been spent to promote global warming. The spending by the FF industry and others is under $1B. The global warming promoters have outspent the skeptics by over 50 to 1.

    The promoters like Al Gore are making a tremendous amount of moeny off of 'global warming' Al Gore made over $250 Million with his carbon credit hedge funds.
     
    #353     Feb 12, 2013
  4. Link? Sounds like more of your bullshit.
     
    #354     Feb 12, 2013
  5. Somehow you skipped the part that supports your claims, try again.

    btw: Why does that concept bother you in the first place.
     
    #355     Feb 12, 2013
  6. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    It appears that you failed to look closely at your own chart. You keep claiming that the Doran (and other studies) show that 97% of climatologists support man-made global warming. You keep spouting the 97% figure over and over again as if you were a student at a Pakistani madrasa.

    Let's take a look at what your charts shows for Doran:
    98% of scientists most frequently published climate change
    90% on scientists publishing on climate change
    88% of Climatologists

    Oh wait... where is the 97% ???
     
    #356     Feb 12, 2013
  7. Link?
     
    #357     Feb 12, 2013
  8. 97 % of the climatologists who publish the most, IOW the best experts.

    If you went to 100 of the best cardiologists in the world and 97 of them said to get a bypass what would you do? Go with the three who said no? In essence that's you denier morons are doing.
     
    #358     Feb 12, 2013
  9. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    I published links regarding Al Gore's hedge funds in the other thread.

    The video at the start of this thread outlines the spending by global warming promoters.

    You already admitted that you do not read links or watch the videos posted by anyone. Why would anyone considering posting links a second, third, or fourth time when you do not even look at or consider the information.

    You appear to be stuck on being an unthinking idolatrized attack pundit chanting the 'climate change' mantra
     
    #359     Feb 12, 2013
  10. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Not a single place in the chart you posted is there a 97% figure.

    You can not even post information that supports your chanting the 97% mantra of the global warming alarmists.
     
    #360     Feb 12, 2013