The Great Global Warming Swindle

Discussion in 'Politics' started by gwb-trading, Jan 30, 2013.

  1. I understand that you think everything is some sort of conspiracy. An F for a GW denial paper?

    You never answered my question..


    Don't you think it's illogical to dismiss the current science which has around 97% consensus, and computers, because 1/6th of the science in the 70's got it wrong?
     
    #131     Feb 1, 2013
  2. jem

    jem

    that is a total guess / mis understanding of the record.
     
    #132     Feb 1, 2013
  3. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Yes, in North Carolina our Appalachian State University is one of the top "global warming" research centers drawing in significant government funding. Undergraduate students taking classes with any of the professors involved in the "research" are told very directly they will get an F on any paper that denies global warming. Can you imagine if a graduate researcher actually presented results that questioned global warming? Would you think they would be recommended for an academic spot, a PhD program, post graduate research, or a government job?

    In regards to your question, there is no 97% consenus in regards to global warming. There are a sigificant number of researchers who doubt 'global warming' and a huge number who are simply unwilling to speak up because they would lose their jobs when their employer lost funding. The dominant 'science' in the media and classroom in the 1970s was global cooling - it is not a 1/6th representation - except in some obscure graph you found on the internet.
     
    #133     Feb 1, 2013
  4. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    97% consenus - I don't think so. Let's take a look at some recent press.

    Open letter to UN Secretary-General: Current scientific knowledge does not substantiate Ban Ki-Moon assertions on weather and climate, say 125-plus scientists

    Mr. Secretary-General:

    On November 9 this year you told the General Assembly: “Extreme weather due to climate change is the new normal … Our challenge remains, clear and urgent: to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, to strengthen adaptation to … even larger climate shocks … and to reach a legally binding climate agreement by 2015 … This should be one of the main lessons of Hurricane Sandy.”

    On November 13 you said at Yale: “The science is clear; we should waste no more time on that debate.”

    The following day, in Al Gore’s “Dirty Weather” Webcast, you spoke of “more severe storms, harsher droughts, greater floods”, concluding: “Two weeks ago, Hurricane Sandy struck the eastern seaboard of the United States. A nation saw the reality of climate change. The recovery will cost tens of billions of dollars. The cost of inaction will be even higher. We must reduce our dependence on carbon emissions.”

    We the undersigned, qualified in climate-related matters, wish to state that current scientific knowledge does not substantiate your assertions.

    The U.K. Met Office recently released data showing that there has been no statistically significant global warming for almost 16 years. During this period, according to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations rose by nearly 9% to now constitute 0.039% of the atmosphere. Global warming that has not occurred cannot have caused the extreme weather of the past few years. Whether, when and how atmospheric warming will resume is unknown. The science is unclear. Some scientists point out that near-term natural cooling, linked to variations in solar output, is also a distinct possibility.

    The “even larger climate shocks” you have mentioned would be worse if the world cooled than if it warmed. Climate changes naturally all the time, sometimes dramatically. The hypothesis that our emissions of CO2 have caused, or will cause, dangerous warming is not supported by the evidence.

    The incidence and severity of extreme weather has not increased. There is little evidence that dangerous weather-related events will occur more often in the future. The U.N.’s own Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change says in its Special Report on Extreme Weather (2012) that there is “an absence of an attributable climate change signal” in trends in extreme weather losses to date. The funds currently dedicated to trying to stop extreme weather should therefore be diverted to strengthening our infrastructure so as to be able to withstand these inevitable, natural events, and to helping communities rebuild after natural catastrophes such as tropical storm Sandy.

    There is no sound reason for the costly, restrictive public policy decisions proposed at the U.N. climate conference in Qatar. Rigorous analysis of unbiased observational data does not support the projections of future global warming predicted by computer models now proven to exaggerate warming and its effects.

    The NOAA “State of the Climate in 2008” report asserted that 15 years or more without any statistically-significant warming would indicate a discrepancy between observation and prediction. Sixteen years without warming have therefore now proven that the models are wrong by their creators’ own criterion.

    Based upon these considerations, we ask that you desist from exploiting the misery of the families of those who lost their lives or properties in tropical storm Sandy by making unsupportable claims that human influences caused that storm. They did not. We also ask that you acknowledge that policy actions by the U.N., or by the signatory nations to the UNFCCC, that aim to reduce CO2 emissions are unlikely to exercise any significant influence on future climate. Climate policies therefore need to focus on preparation for, and adaptation to, all dangerous climatic events however caused.

    Signed by: (listed appended in article)
     
    #134     Feb 1, 2013
  5. Not really, a consensus of idiots is still just a bunch of idiots acting like a mob.

    I'm much more concerned about the lil hobbits that steal my socks from the dryer when I'm not looking than AGW.
     
    #135     Feb 1, 2013
  6. Bullshit. Total bullshit. Everything you wrote is bullshit. Not a single true thing. All bullshit. Save perhaps that ASU is top research center.
     
    #136     Feb 1, 2013
  7. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Ok... You are welcome to your opinion.... no matter wrong. My daughter was the one who took the class at ASU. It is very clear to any reasonable person that this is very much how university environments operate.

    Obviously there is no 97% consenus today in regards to global warming.. this is pure nonsense. And anyone who lived through the 1970s in the U.S. will remember all the global cooling hype in both the media and classroom.

    Naturally when you can't come up with any reasonable or rational response -- you simply resort to a rant saying "everything you wrote is bullshit". OK, whatever.
     
    #137     Feb 1, 2013
  8. Oooooo wow, 125 republican scientists the bulk of whom are not climate scientists disagree with the 97% of climate scientists who are in agreement about the basic reality of AGW.

    Try again.
     
    #138     Feb 1, 2013
  9. Lucrum

    Lucrum


    Bullshit. Total bullshit. Everything you wrote is bullshit. Not a single true thing. All bullshit.
     
    #139     Feb 1, 2013
  10. Feel free to also ignore this fact that conflicts with your dogma.


    While the harsh winter pounding many areas of North America and Europe seemingly contradicts the fact that global warming continues unabated, a new survey finds consensus among scientists about the reality of climate change and its likely cause.

    A group of 3,146 earth scientists surveyed around the world overwhelmingly agree that in the past 200-plus years, mean global temperatures have been rising, and that human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures.
    Peter Doran, University of Illinois at Chicago associate professor of earth and environmental sciences, along with former graduate student Maggie Kendall Zimmerman, conducted the survey late last year.
    The findings appear January 19 in the publication Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union.
    In trying to overcome criticism of earlier attempts to gauge the view of earth scientists on global warming and the human impact factor, Doran and Kendall Zimmerman sought the opinion of the most complete list of earth scientists they could find, contacting more than 10,200 experts around the world listed in the 2007 edition of the American Geological Institute's Directory of Geoscience Departments.
    Experts in academia and government research centers were e-mailed invitations to participate in the on-line poll conducted by the website questionpro.com. Only those invited could participate and computer IP addresses of participants were recorded and used to prevent repeat voting. Questions used were reviewed by a polling expert who checked for bias in phrasing, such as suggesting an answer by the way a question was worded. The nine-question survey was short, taking just a few minutes to complete.
    Two questions were key: have mean global temperatures risen compared to pre-1800s levels, and has human activity been a significant factor in changing mean global temperatures.
    About 90 percent of the scientists agreed with the first question and 82 percent the second.
    In analyzing responses by sub-groups, Doran found that climatologists who are active in research showed the strongest consensus on the causes of global warming, with 97 percent agreeing humans play a role. Petroleum geologists and meteorologists were among the biggest doubters, with only 47 and 64 percent respectively believing in human involvement. Doran compared their responses to a recent poll showing only 58 percent of the public thinks human activity contributes to global warming.
    "The petroleum geologist response is not too surprising, but the meteorologists' is very interesting," he said. "Most members of the public think meteorologists know climate, but most of them actually study very short-term phenomenon."
    He was not surprised, however, by the near-unanimous agreement by climatologists.
    "They're the ones who study and publish on climate science. So I guess the take-home message is, the more you know about the field of climate science, the more you're likely to believe in global warming and humankind's contribution to it."
    Doran and Kendall Zimmerman conclude that "the debate on the authenticity of global warming and the role played by human activity is largely nonexistent among those who understand the nuances and scientific basis of long-term climate processes." The challenge now, they write, is how to effectively communicate this to policy makers and to a public that continues to mistakenly perceive debate among scientists

    http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/01/090119210532.htm

    And since this was done there has been an increase in belief among scientists with at least one prominant denier changing his opinion 180 degrees.
     
    #140     Feb 1, 2013