The Fed and Economic Divergences

Discussion in 'Economics' started by Joab, May 8, 2007.

  1. If they don't raise rates, the dollar will plunge further.

    That will cause foreign creditors to divest their treasury note holdings even more so.

    Net result - The FOMC will have to raise rates anyways, if they hope to sell any more debt at auction.

    Watch. They'll say the economy is robust, even though they know anyone with 1/2 a brain knows what they're really saying is "we can't afford to loosen rates."
     
    #11     May 8, 2007
  2. Joab

    Joab

    I agree.

    We haven't seen a FOMC surprise in years and we are due.
     
    #12     May 8, 2007
  3. Joab

    Joab

    Mark

    You win the prize :D

    We sure did get volatility
     
    #13     May 9, 2007
  4. "All arguments that the economy is slowing so ... now we have divergence."

    Whose arguments? Yours? The May ISM level suggested above trend growth for example. The stock market is a leading indicator (component of LEI). Maybe your assessment is wrong.
     
    #14     May 9, 2007
  5. the economy is slowing but it's taking more J-curve borrowing to support it......

    me no like......
     
    #15     May 11, 2007