The fallacy of "continuous Kelly"

Discussion in 'Risk Management' started by kut2k2, Apr 29, 2014.

  1. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    LOL

    OK, give a concrete example where CK provides optimal sizing. No more bullshit from anybody, especially a poser like you. Put up or STFU.
     
    #21     May 12, 2014
  2. Start another thread, call it "Continuous Kelly", and politely ask a question about how to use it. I'll be happy to respond.
     
    #22     May 12, 2014
  3. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    What's keeping you from starting your own thread, some sort of mental deficit? Sheesh, dude, you got issues.
     
    #23     May 12, 2014
  4. It's a pity really. My only ignorance was that I didn't know I would be attacked. Also the moderators of this group should realize that when members are willing to help and are attacked they will not be willing to repeat it unless they get rid off the abrasive characters.

    Mr, you need help and not only in the area of continuous vs. discrete finance. Grow up and learn how to behave. The only one you're hurting with this behavior is yourself and all the negative energy you emit comes back to haunt you.
     
    #24     May 13, 2014
  5. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    Mister, I don't need your help because you are clearly confused yourself.

    You emphasized yourself: "I don't trust these things and don't use them.". Yet you're so concerned about the difference between discrete and continuous Kelly. Why? You don't trust any of them, so why all this concern?

    Actually on one level your distrust makes sense. While the idea of geometric mean maximization is brilliant in theory, its execution in practice has been abysmal. None of the public formulae are very good, and at least a couple look to be disastrous. Including this CK dreck, which whether it is intended for trading or just for long-term investing doesn't produce a good result either way.

    "I think most MBA courses cover both well.". They also teach EMH in MBA programs. I wouldn't take what is taught in MBA programs as the gold standard of what works in the real world.
     
    #25     May 13, 2014
  6. Sir, I suggest you create another user and start talking to yourself. You do not need any others. Bye.
     
    #26     May 13, 2014
  7. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    You seem to think you and I are the only two posters in this thread, so how oblivious to others are you? Bye!
     
    #27     May 13, 2014
  8. Maybe its your turn to enlighten optimal position sizing including evasion of gapping down way under a stopploss
     
    #28     Jan 9, 2015
  9. Visaria

    Visaria

    consider the following (real life) bet...probability of 13/37 loses 1, prob of 24/37 wins 0.75

    kelly fraction is 18%

    your kelly approximation (kelly for traders thread) gives 4% ..can u confirm pls? if correct then why so much difference?
     
    #29     Jan 11, 2015
  10. kut2k2

    kut2k2

    The Kelly approximation is just under 19%.
     
    #30     Jan 15, 2015