The Dunning-Kruger effect

Discussion in 'Politics' started by futurecurrents, May 4, 2013.

  1. jem

    jem


    wtf? why are you trolling with this garbage.
    that info does not counter the idea that our average temp has not rise over the last 17 years.
    it certainly does not show what you claimed.

    and consistent with what i claimed is that recently there wer 8 warmer years.... something consistent with a down trend. (not that I was making that argument.)
     
    #101     May 9, 2013
  2. pspr

    pspr

    #102     May 9, 2013
  3. Ricter

    Ricter

    Is this how you trade, you look at a chart like this one, and exit because the "trend is over"?

    <img src="http://blogs.agu.org/wildwildscience/files/2013/01/NASA2012-FINAL.png">
     
    #103     May 9, 2013
  4. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    Maybe he trades longer term charts, moron.



    [​IMG]
     
    #104     May 9, 2013
  5. jem

    jem

    totally off point again.

    This argument is about the fact that CO2 has increased the last 17 years but temps have not. Which therefore invalidates the models which predicted warming based on CO2 increase.

    Since there has been no increase the last 17 years... something besides man made CO2 must have a lot to do with temperature change and man made CO2 must have a lot less... or no effect on earths temps.



    I know you understand the argument.

    Is it not time a guy like you concedes that the earths systems are complex and that science does not know if man made co2 is causing temperatures to rise.


    by the way... if that were a chart of stock prices... I would want to know what the FED is going to do before I picked a direction.

    if that is a chart of temps... I would like to know what the sun is going to do.

    I would also admit I was making educated guess and would not go all in with transferring my wealth to other countries and trying to cap and trade away our economic future.
     
    #105     May 9, 2013
  6. Ricter

    Ricter

    Based on the chart it appears that warming has stopped many times.
     
    #106     May 9, 2013
  7. jem

    jem


    correct and if you go back to a very long term chart you will see we are in the middle of a big range.
     
    #107     May 9, 2013
  8. I really hope they don't trade by charts. It's obvious they can't recognize a trend or break in trend if their life depended on it. Pretty pathetic.

    Also they seem to be too stupid to understand that there is also an ocean on planet earth that has a "small" effect on the climate.

    Good luck arguing with these ideologically deranged idiots.
     
    #108     May 9, 2013
  9. jem

    jem

    I do now... but when I was trading for a living the hourly chart was my long term chart.


     
    #109     May 9, 2013
  10. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    You're talking to a guy (Rectum) who by his own admission does not trade.
     
    #110     May 10, 2013