I enjoy writing on ET - it really helps me to crystallize my thoughts by putting them down on the BBS. I've been posting about 18 months now, and I've come a long way in my thoughts, done some serious reading, and am trying to formulate a plausible long-term macro view to guide my trading. I'll post briefly now & continue in some more depth later, but here are my main beliefs and tenets as I have come to understand them. 1. Demographics is the root of most everything. 2. The 'china effect' will dominate for the next 20 years. 3. There are strong deflationary tendencies in the market due to #1 and #2. 4. Global Geopolitics is aimed at maintaining borders, increasing the rule of law, and economic growth may be sacrificed for those goals. 5. We have narrowly missed or postponed a severe economic crisis from 2000-2002, but may not be fully out of the woods yet. I post a bit, but since I rarely flame, I don't get a lot of responses to my postings. I do like a dialogue, and would enjoy being challenged as it helps me to sharpen my viewpoint, so as long as you are factual and constructive, feel free to call me full of shit.