Didnt see your post till just now, i was referring to a generality as described roughly here; http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=110063&perpage=6&pagenumber=3 and more than evident in the previous posted chart i think, its just something that happens in cocoa and coffee in particular, the crazy volatile ab-up followed by MASSIVE c failures, back to a multi week median line, or similiar. But in the chart previously provided, there were higher consolidation periods, and kept building, despite the apperent volatility during late last year. higher consolidation=like it or not, it will likely go up. As stated, i do spot replicable chart patterns frequently, im just very lazy, indeed im probably not doing the topic justice due to laziness.