The Big Bear Bet

Discussion in 'Options' started by diogenes7, Jun 7, 2020.

  1. Relentless

    Relentless

    Sounds like someone missed out :p

    Don't worry. Market opportunities are endless.

    No need to get triggered. Then again, it's not hard to see why you get fired up so easy being wrong since basically forever.

    P.S. My prediction is the opposite of whatever yours is. $$$
     
    #11     Jun 7, 2020
    Nine_Ender likes this.
  2. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    I went 100% long on March 23rd, with a heavy weighting in gold mining and energy.
     
    #12     Jun 7, 2020
    diogenes7 and Relentless like this.
  3. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun


    There is no way this market ends the year higher than here. A big drop will come, the key is timing entries based on price action, as always.
     
    #13     Jun 7, 2020
    diogenes7 likes this.
  4. Relentless

    Relentless

    Why not just trade price action like I've seen you say numerous times?

    This business of thinking the market "has to do" something is how many go broke.
     
    #14     Jun 7, 2020
    dennis86 and KCalhoun like this.
  5. destriero

    destriero

    I took my biggest short on Feb21. My macro thread.


    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/election-theme.340755/#post-5019505
     
    Last edited: Jun 7, 2020
    #15     Jun 7, 2020
  6. S2007S

    S2007S



    Price action did not predict that whopping 30% collapse now did it...
     
    #16     Jun 7, 2020
  7. KCalhoun

    KCalhoun

    True, so now I am trading both long and inverses as a hedge. Goal is to scale into the winner.

    eg i'm in tiny size roughly $1400 each worth of long etfs SPXL/TNA vs inverses

    lmk any suggestions? thx

    fwiw these small initial positions mainly serve as bookmarks, reminders of what to trade so i don't forget

    This frothy bubble will burst at some point. Global pandemic, low consumer confidence, millions unemployed, riots, China trade conflict, bankruptcies, how much more can the market go up.

    fdly7jun.jpg
     
    Last edited: Jun 7, 2020
    #17     Jun 7, 2020
    Relentless likes this.
  8. S2007S

    S2007S

    Keep thinking this sustainable. This market has never in its history seen a run up of this magnitude. 42% jump in 50 trading days and everyone thinks this can just keep going and going. I mean how much more can you squeeze out of a market. How come its easy to scream and call out stocks that are oversold but never ever stocks being extremely overbought .....

    Dow Jones
    27,273.0
    DERIVED
    19:57:01 | Futures
    +201.0 +0.74%

    S&P 500
    3,209.38
    DERIVED
    19:57:01 | Futures
    +22.63 +0.71%

    Nasdaq
    9,874.38
    DERIVED
    19:57:01 | Futures
    +65.88 +0.67%

    SmallCap 2000
    1,523.65
    DERIVED
    19:57:03 | Futures
    +21.05 +1.40%
     
    #18     Jun 7, 2020
    KCalhoun likes this.
  9. Relentless

    Relentless

    Did I say that it did? No. I don't predict - I react.

    I'm afraid there's no hope for you. Your bearish obsession has broken your mind.

    Honestly I'm glad for you that you have a 401 that forces you to be long if you want to make money. Otherwise I can't help but think you were broke years ago in any allocation towards the financial markets. Don't quit your day-job.
     
    #19     Jun 7, 2020
  10. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    It’s called apophenia.
     
    #20     Jun 7, 2020
    .sigma likes this.