The bear market rally is now done - Monday starts another downtrend - see attached

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by Port1385, Jan 3, 2009.

  1. We're in a new bull market. Dont fade this rally. Time 2 get greedy and buy all you can. 

The market is immune to bad news.
     
    #71     Jan 3, 2009
  2. I put together a quick spreadsheet for another thread, so I thought I would look at a couple of stats. Not a rigorous analysis (10 years of S&P data) so let’s just call them fun facts:

    1. There were 166 occurrences of 3 up days in a row and 78 occurrences of 4 up days in a row (45% of the time next day was an up day).
    2. But if market is below 100ma (as it is now), only 41% of the time was there a 4th up day (21 of 51 occurrences, vs 57 of 115 when market was over 100ma).
    3. 10 years data only gave me 9 occurrences of “second trading day in January” so even less significance to these numbers, but 67% (6 of 9) were up days with an overall average of +4.6 points, ranging from -55.8 Jan 4th 2000 to +64.29 in Jan 3rd 2001.
     
    #72     Jan 3, 2009
  3. I just got off the Globex. Futures taking a major dump. Here we go now...
     
    #73     Jan 4, 2009
  4. Major, eh? Define major. Looks like S+P down a point and a half. If that's major then....
     
    #74     Jan 4, 2009
  5. LOL! :D
     
    #75     Jan 4, 2009
  6. And yet here you are, posting away. In fact, the very next post you made after this brilliant analysis was to post more on the subject of the thread.

    What does that tell us?
     
    #76     Jan 4, 2009
  7. For me, it was major.........Not knocking anyone here, but I just made a quick $500 shorting ES, now closing my trading platform..........but watching to see if 919 <u>area</u> holds.

    A <u>confirmed</u> break below - or a bounce off that area - and I may just log back in and go for a few more bucks before bed.

    "Major" is only defined by what one considers it to be.

    Steve
     
    #77     Jan 4, 2009
  8. rc5781

    rc5781

    a little Imodium-AD and i think the ES could be ok...FOR NOW...
     
    #78     Jan 4, 2009
  9. THAT YOUR A TOOL.
     
    #79     Jan 4, 2009
  10. rc5781

    rc5781

    tools are very useful, i never understood that insult....now "stool" that would be offensive...
     
    #80     Jan 4, 2009