The bear market rally is now done - Monday starts another downtrend - see attached

Discussion in 'Chit Chat' started by Port1385, Jan 3, 2009.

  1. [​IMG]

    Looks pretty flat to me.
     
    #111     Jan 5, 2009
  2. Flat and chop. Going into consolidation of more flat and chop.

    Need to get earnings out of the way, pulse on the economy 1st quarter, Obama's stimulation move and see what his time frame is.

    Market, IMHO, in holding pattern at these current levels.
     
    #112     Jan 5, 2009
  3. Wrong again.
     
    #113     Jan 5, 2009
  4. closed down 82 points...it's been a dip buy market since nov. 21st.
     
    #114     Jan 5, 2009
  5. Actually I believe you are correct on that count. As long as you understand that this is just a bear market rally and not the beginning of a new secular bull market you'll be fine.
     
    #115     Jan 5, 2009



  6. Edit: you can make money shorting but your timing has to be very good. As I said b4, the vast majority of the downside in the last bear market happened in early October. The dow lost 20% in just one week.
    [/QUOTE]

    Stocky..,,

    Isn't that how some of us trade ? I am happy with risking 7 points to make 20. and I think a lot of people here do trade in an arena like this

    BTW, WE made a DOJI right on the top bolinger band ( DAILY ). This is the first time we hit the top band since last August. I agree it is getting bullish my friend. But it is time for a little correction.
    What we need though is to break the double top it made on 915-918. if we do that the next stop is 900. and then its all yours...:p :p
     
    #116     Jan 5, 2009
  7. Yes, but that's not what you said. And tomorrow could be a big down day. Buying when you said so could be catastrophic for a trader.
     
    #117     Jan 5, 2009
  8. Try telling that to the likes of the COAL stocks since early last week, or the Nat-Gas names like APA and DVN, or even the fertilizer names like POT.

    Some of you guys get so caught up in whether or not the overall market is in a secular Bull or Bear that you completely MISS OUT on what is going on in some extremely profitable sectors!

    The OIH is +20% in the last 4 days!!!
    :eek:
     
    #118     Jan 5, 2009
  9. Not at all, not really sure where you're getting that idea that I only invest based on what kind of "secular" market we are in.

    As I said, we are in a bear market rally, so of course the right course of action is to go long. But the key is knowing that buy and hold as a strategy doesn't apply, because we are in a secular bear market.

    And of course there are various sectors or individual stocks that do very well that one might miss. But you can't be everywhere at once, you pick the investments you believe will yield the best returns and go with those. If you picked coal and natgas, great. I picked short Treasuries and long oil. To each his own.
     
    #119     Jan 5, 2009
  10. Why is anyone talking about "investing" here in the TRADING forum???
    Doesn't make any sense.
     
    #120     Jan 5, 2009