I wonder if there is a merit to use both FRO and vanilla for a dispersion trade. Long basketâs calls and buy FL atm FROâs (on index)
Amused that some think that 'binary' means 'gambling', as if everything else wasn't. Nothing binary about a horse race either. (Unless you think win or lose means binary). Guess that's not gambling.
Actually, it's identical to payouts on horseracing or any limited-risk odds-based binary outcome and flow impacts odds in racing and volatility in option-markets. Wagers impact odds just as in any volatility market, or any market for that matter. The zero-sum parimutuel pool is a good analogy to the payout in binary options.
It's a zero sum analogy taking into account fixed odds. I realize that there are typically only two counterparties to an exotic option transaction [parimutuel comment]. It's an analogy to something underwritten/offered to >1 investor or the payoff on the OI of an individual listed contract. The payout-analogy sticks on any fixed-odds exotic. The parimutuel analogy is a bit stretched.