The Age of Balance Sheet Recessions: What can be learned from Japan 1990-2005 0

Discussion in 'Economics' started by ASusilovic, Apr 5, 2009.

  1. Exhibit 6. Features of Balance Sheet Recession
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    A balance sheet recession emerges after the bursting of a nationwide asset price bubble that leaves a large number of private-sector balance sheets with more liabilities than assets.
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    In order to repair their balance sheets, private sector moves away from profit maximization to debt minimization.
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    With the private sector de-leveraging, even at zero interest rates, newly generated savings and debt repayments enter the banking system but cannot leave the system due to the lack of borrowers.The sum of savings and debt repayments end up becoming the leakage to the income stream.
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    The deflationary gap created by the above leakage will continue to push the economy toward a contractionaryequilibrium until the private sector is too impoverished to save any money (=depression).
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    In this type of recession, the economy will not enter self-sustaining growth until private sector balance sheets are repaired.


    http://www.csis.org/media/csis/events/090326_koo_presentation.pdf
     
  2. Eight

    Eight

    So..... it's a closed system, there won't be any entrepreneurs starting new businesses? Maybe under Obama there won't be new businesses, it's better to live off the fat of the land probably... hee hee...