The ACD Method

dec/dec and wti/brent both failed at Weekly Aups this morning. i'm more confident in the dec/dec actually having follow through though. i'm hearing most physical oil traders think arb is going to -3.00

 

Kinggy, if you'll allow me to "pull a Maverick" here, I'll be able to give more than just a one or two line response this weekend. Swamped here at the moment

 

Natty gas bumping up against Monthly Aup already. H/J and V/F spreads already trading above their Aups

 

How did you test you hypothesis? Or is it just an opinion? Some time ago I checked and if I remember correctly first two days of the month were high or low of the month about 40% of the time.

 

both followed through pretty nicely. each about .15 off Weekly Adowns right now

 

WTI/Brent just completed the Weekly range. from Aup to Adown in two days.

 

both followed through today

 

Hoop, do you track the RBHO spread? Its taking a beating today and my model is still not upto speed with any spreads. Do you mind sharing your thoughts on RBHO if you track it?

 

about $1.00 lower with a -30 on my 30 day number line

 

i don't at the moment, apologies.