The ACD Method

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by sbrowne126, Jul 16, 2009.

  1. The Homegamer's Number Lines for Retirement Mutual Fund Timing : )

    Hello HomeGamer’s,

    We’ve had a few recent 30 day confirms and I've added some of them to my MF’s. I've had enough Instant Gratification to keep me in the likes of IJK, IJT and IVE. (I give my Instant Gratification 3 to 5 days for MF’s.)

    We do have a few notable System Failure confirmations and XLI is a real interesting one. It confirmed negative on 8/1/14 and then had a good System Failure including bouncing off the Weekly A down on the 6th and then making a weekly A Up on the 8th. I thought “The perfect mutual fund system failure trade” and then did nothing! It is interesting that’s XLI is up like this but the 30 day continues to be strongly negative. Something has to give.
     
    #9091     Sep 7, 2014
    wavefinder likes this.
  2. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Just some trivial news to report for here:

    Weekly VIX options about to launch soon as well as a VIX on Treasuries.
     
    #9092     Sep 7, 2014
  3. samuel11

    samuel11

    What will be the underlying for weekly VIX options?
     
    #9093     Sep 7, 2014
  4. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    They will be priced off the short term vix index which is a separate index from the regular 30 day vix. The short term index is a 9 day vol strip.
     
    #9094     Sep 7, 2014
    samuel11 likes this.
  5. Maverick74

    Maverick74


    Hmm..
     
    #9095     Sep 8, 2014
    hoop121, wavefinder and logicaltrader like this.
  6. carnap

    carnap

    The extension level at 83.2 has been reached, so we can say that a larger impulse wave is up folding. Resist level at 83.4 has been tested positively. Good signs for the Goodman scenario.
    [​IMG]
    Now an important decision point has been reached the resist level 84.5. The upper triangle line is actually at 84.99. Maybe we will see a minor correction at this point.
    A closer look at the impulse substructure is showing steadily increasing dynamic showing trend lines with increasing slopes.
    What should also be mentioned is a" bomb" occurring at the last trend line. A bomb is defined as a short violation of the trend line “false break” followed by an impulsive break out in form of a gap up break out. That is a typical feature for a running wave iii of 3.
    [​IMG]


    Furthermore the situation EUR/US is indicating a further decline min. 27875. But we could see more downside retracement into the next year. That is because EUR/US completed an EDT formation as a consequence an total retracement of the last formation has to be expected.
    Overall there is confirmation that the Goodman scenario is running already.
     
    #9096     Sep 9, 2014
  7. hoop121

    hoop121

    huh?
     
    #9097     Sep 9, 2014
  8. carnap

    carnap

    Sounds like a question, but I do not understand what does it exactly mean. Sorry.
     
    #9098     Sep 9, 2014
  9. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Way too many lines on your chart Carnap. Also way too many "if then" statements. There are two possible directions: pick one.
     
    #9099     Sep 9, 2014
  10. carnap

    carnap

    There are three possible directions, but ok not so important.
    All the lines have a meaning in the sense of degree.” If then” statements are a logical operator which gives a clear specification.
    Maybe it is more about what could be explained with the sentence: “Think small big ideas upset everyone.”
    But I do not think that someone including myself have an interest in discussing the difference between utilitarianism and constructivism really.
    Obviously this thread has another intention as supposed by me. Therefore I will disclaim for further statement in this forum.
     
    #9100     Sep 9, 2014