Hi All, attached my monthly levels for 6 currencies against the USD (EUR, GBP, JPY, CAD, AUD, MXN). Except JPY all had a confirmed A up/down last month, will be interesting to see if the action continues this month.
Flip! How ya doing man? How is the fund going? Good to see you back here. There is some nice action in the currencies. That usually is a good predictor or future overall market volatility. As I continue to parrot on this thread, WATCH the currencies for clues on the overall market. Although sometimes I think I'm just talking to myself.
It's an awfully boring year so far. While there are nice short term moves, lasting a few days, there's not enough follow through for such a long term trend-following strategy to generate decent profits. Compared to other CTAs it's okay, but of course that doesn't help us much... Short-term strategies however are doing fine this year, perfect environment for them. Well, apart from that I'm more active now with trading my own account, trying to incorporate the ACD approach more and more Hope you are doing fine? What's going on with Shanb, is he still active?
Mav, Say you are in a position and would like to add more...can you add on confirmed intra-day A-ups or do you prefer to add on failed A-downs (intraday or longer frame?)
I prefer to add on failed weekly A downs but you can add on intra-day A ups after a pullback. In other words, you are getting a pullback and now you are waiting for strength to confirm that the pullback was actually a failure.
Could this be the reason for the sell off? http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-10-02/tesla-plunges-potential-dilution-speculation-car-fire
Yup, but those types of headlines are hugely bullish. You never want to get bearish a stock on that type of headline. That's called a bear trap.