The ACD Method

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by sbrowne126, Jul 16, 2009.

  1. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Man, the action is really picking up on the number lines. April should be a very interesting month. Keep an eye on Gold. It has worked off almost all the negative values and is about to re-set. The 5 day is +8. I wouldn't touch it going into end of quarter. But next week watch out.
     
    #7061     Mar 25, 2013
  2. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    A great entry trade is where you get a correction in price with a continuation numberline. What causes this? Gaps for one. And large opening range moves. See you can actually add positive number line values on a stock that is declining in price. Try doing that with your dad's old school TA! LOL. It's basically allowing you to take advantage of news spikes or large moves that are immaterial to the price action.
     
    #7062     Mar 25, 2013
  3. NFLX weekly A up on the second trading day pretty impressive. My numberline is a little weak and the monthly levels kind of seem messy though
     
    #7063     Mar 26, 2013
  4. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    With the end of QTR, here is a breakdown on the futures side how everything shaped up. The big winners this QTR were Natural Gas and Japan (both the Nikkei and the Yen). Copper was by far the weakest risk asset.

    [​IMG]
     
    #7064     Mar 31, 2013
  5. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    And this is a breakdown of the big winning sectors. Honestly, the charts of utilities, consumer cyclicals and healthcare look like internet stocks from the late 90's. I have never seen charts this smooth for this long for a sector. Normally one would see this as a very bearish sign. But in this easy money world we live in, it's much harder to come to that conclusion.

    [​IMG]

    And the corresponding 30 day number lines for those 3 sectors are:

    XLP currently 23 (QTR high 29)

    XLU currently 10 (QTR high of 19)

    XLV currently 12 (QTR high of 32)
     
    #7065     Mar 31, 2013
  6. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    On the FX side

    We had some strong pairs re-set on the 30 day finally:

    USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, EUR/ GBP all reset after some very strong values early the QTR.

    EUR/AUD confirmed on the downside a few weeks ago and GBP/JPY confirmed last week on the downside.

    AUD/JPY is the only one yet to re-set.
     
    #7066     Mar 31, 2013
  7. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    And for those of you that follow the energy crack spreads, we have some major weakness in both the heating oil and rbob cracks. Major sell signals went off mid march in the number lines. Spectacular follow through.
     
    #7067     Mar 31, 2013
  8. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    We got a 30 day number line confirm today in Bonds as well as a confirmed monthly A up. So the spoos may not want to sell off yet but Bonds sure want to rally. If you are looking to short this market, buying bonds might be the better trade.
     
    #7068     Apr 4, 2013
  9. Wow
     
    #7069     Apr 5, 2013
  10. Beautiful gap up in the TLT today.
     
    #7070     Apr 5, 2013