The ACD Method

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by sbrowne126, Jul 16, 2009.

  1. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    The 30 day on crude is now plus 17. Definitely showing some strength.
     
    #6781     Dec 26, 2012
  2. hoop121

    hoop121

    it was actually a position i've had on for about two months. took some profits a month ago, but still had a runner on today and got out.

    Mav,

    I'm trying to put a little presentation together for some of the gas traders at my shop.

    I'm using a 10 day ATR and taking 25% of it to find my A values.

    But my A values are all coming out to twice the A value that Fisher uses. I know that the A values aren't magical levels, but I'd like to get as close to possible to what he's doing.

    Do you know what I might be doing wrong?
     
    #6782     Dec 26, 2012
  3. hoop121

    hoop121

    i did have my monthly at 260.78 though, so pretty pumped about that.
     
    #6783     Dec 26, 2012
  4. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    I'm curious if you don't mind sharing what firm are you with? You can PM me if you want.
     
    #6784     Dec 26, 2012
  5. hoop121

    hoop121

    GOOG put in a weekly and daily A down for me today followed by a failed monthly A up last week.

    i'm still trying this stuff out so i put on a small credit call spread to try and play my bearish bias.
     
    #6785     Dec 27, 2012
  6. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    GOOG bounced off my weekly A down so far. Be careful with the end of year. As a rule of thumb, I'm very weary of late cycle trades as in late in the week, month or qtr. Love the early cycle trades obviously. So you may get some noise here into end of year.

    My other advice for anyone trading stocks is to find a bunch of stocks you like to trade on a regular basis and start doing the number lines. The number lines are really important to go with the ACD levels.
     
    #6786     Dec 27, 2012
  7. hoop121

    hoop121

    ok, good advice.

    i'm trying to build out my CL and NG levels, but i'm getting very few days where they confirm any A up or A downs.

    i'm using a 45 minute OR and a 25% of a 10 day ATR.

    based on my ATR value though, i'm getting very wide A values and I think this may be the problem.

    any thoughts?
     
    #6787     Dec 27, 2012
  8. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Yeah, I do have some thoughts. LOL. Take that 45 min opening range down to 5. Crude moves more in 5 minutes then most products move in 45. Same with natty. I get A confirmations almost every day in oil.
     
    #6788     Dec 27, 2012
  9. hoop121

    hoop121

    ok great. yeah, i was afraid that might be too long. but i signed up for his trial period for his site and i thought i saw on there he had 45 minutes ORs for both.
     
    #6789     Dec 27, 2012
  10. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Yeah Fish and I should talk about that. :)
     
    #6790     Dec 27, 2012