The ACD Method

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by sbrowne126, Jul 16, 2009.

  1. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Pretty much hit this target as well. Close enough for government work (86.25).
     
    #6711     Nov 13, 2012
  2. not sure if ya have the same but ...

    CD bounced off weekly A down ...target weekly pivot .9996ish
    BP leaning on the QTR A down 15854
    AD thru the weekly A up would think mthly A of 10470 is in play

    using futures not forex
     
    #6712     Nov 13, 2012
  3. copper last over last 4 days the numberline has added +9 per fish...

    has failed at both of the weekly A's...not sure what to make of it?

    maybe hold the weekly pivot and mthly A down? 34590 and 34469
     
    #6713     Nov 14, 2012
  4. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    My 30 day on Copper is still pretty negative: -17

    The low was -26 so yes, it has come off 9 pts.

    My 5 day on Copper is +2 and the monthly is +3.

    It has bounced off the monthly A down several times now and has failed at both the weekly A up and A down.
     
    #6714     Nov 14, 2012
  5. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Natty gas traded up to the monthly A up today and failed and put in a -3 reversal day. Possible move back down to the monthly A down.

    The 5 day is back down to +1. The 30 day has pulled back to +6.
     
    #6715     Nov 15, 2012
  6. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Brent/WTI trading over $26!!!!! This spread use to trade plus/minus $2 of parity for years. The middle east really driving this thing right now.
     
    #6716     Nov 15, 2012
  7. wow that is insane...think that spread used to trade like brent 1-2 under and the arb always kept it in line?

    today was dec brent expiry so i assume that helped add a bit to the volatility...dec wti expires tomoro which is a little early in the cycle but due to the holidays next week

    any idea where is the jan spread trading?
     
    #6717     Nov 15, 2012
  8. would think the cracks be blowing out as well as the products seem to be more correlated to brent?
     
    #6718     Nov 15, 2012
  9. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    The cracks had a monster run this year. The heating oil cracks are off the highs of the year which were around $43, now $39. The gasoline cracks also had a great run trading near $27.

    That Brent/WTI is just going to get wider. We have a monster supply now of oil shale in this country that is going to go online in the next 5 years and Brent is going to be much more tied to the middle east. I'm betting this spread could trade north of $50 in the next few years.
     
    #6719     Nov 15, 2012
  10. DT3

    DT3

    Mav what are your monthly/quartely levels for AAPL? I'm guessing we have confirmed A downs for both.
     
    #6720     Nov 15, 2012