The ACD Method

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by sbrowne126, Jul 16, 2009.

  1. interesting levels here on NQ correction or beginning of the bloodbath what say you Mav?
     
    #6661     Oct 24, 2012
  2. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Number lines are firming up on the Q's. The ATR A down in the ES is right below this level. Ironically the Q's have already confirmed the A down as well as the monthly A down. The numbers paint a very mixed picture. I think the two better shorts are oil and Gold. Oil now is at -5 on the momentum number line and -19 on the 30 day. Also my proprietary volatility indicator is indicating an explosive move in both oil and gold. Since both have very negative number lines, I expect these moves to be to the downside. I think oil and gold will be cleaner then the indices. There is actually a lot of sector strength out there in the indices that are going to make the selloff in stocks choppy.
     
    #6662     Oct 24, 2012
  3. Shanb

    Shanb

    King watch the QQQ to bounce into next week. Not much cause to take it lower at the moment.

    Also some numberline divergences across the board in the sectors(short term). Any bounce will likely be short term but it can be viscous given how oversold we are!

    Note AAPL reporting on thursday which will obviously have an effect. The action is the action tho!
     
    #6663     Oct 24, 2012
  4. Mav I assume you mean the QQQ's confirmed the QTR A down? I dont normally look at the QTR levels but i reckon it probably around 2700 for the NQ?
     
    #6664     Oct 25, 2012
  5. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Yeah, sorry, typo. Meant to say QTR A down.
     
    #6665     Oct 25, 2012
  6. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    [​IMG]

    Fascinating chart taken from Barry Ritholtz's blog.
     
    #6666     Oct 25, 2012
  7. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    BTW, a little bit of trivia for ya. The bull market (K) on the chart was the one where Nicholas Darvas (the dancing trader) made all his money. You can see, he had a great market to work with! :)
     
    #6667     Oct 25, 2012
  8. bozwood

    bozwood

    He actually made his money only in the very last part of that run-up. In fact, he bemoans the fact that he missed the big move from somewhere in the '53 - '57 time frame.
     
    #6668     Oct 26, 2012
  9. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Man, these number lines look god awful across the board. Only a few sectors showing a lifeline. SMH and IYT are holding their own. TXN helping the semis out.

    Gold trying to hold it's QTR A level around 1713. Copper was a bright spot today along with both the Euro and the Aussie.

    Heating oil cracks continue to go vertical.
     
    #6669     Oct 26, 2012
  10. A few months ago Mav commented that the markets don't give you much time to escape when trending sideways. This storm could become the reason many don't escape unless this turns around. /ES near 200 and nothing technically good about the patterns.
     
    #6670     Oct 29, 2012