The ACD Method

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by sbrowne126, Jul 16, 2009.

  1. Quon

    Quon

    Shane O'Mac?

    Anywho, personally I like all markets. I don't do FX, but not because I don't think ACD works there, it does. I'm a big fan of crude lately, but really it all works. I deal in options for the most part, but equities are fine.

    I think ACD goes beyond the stock market though. Just thinking back to my courses in statistics, you know how significant standard deviations are. If you think of ACD as a significant move beyond the resistance of 2 standard deviations, you can apply it to almost any data set. Something I'm working on now with the wife, (a teacher) is using ACD to see if we can track student learning outcomes. We're early in, but my thought would be that if you could raise the scores of a class to a significant level, then it's possible they may continue in a trend. Who knows if it'll work, but, worth looking at I think.
     
    #6431     Aug 15, 2012
  2. In a strange way this does make sense. Human achievement tends to trend, then plateau, then a breakout is needed before another trend sets in. The 4 minute mile, the sub-10 second 100m, and many similar 'barriers' to greater achievement once broken are no longer limiting factors.

    One could find similar examples in exploration, scientific discovery and invention, the list goes on.

    Where the students are at the start of a period is like the opening range, take them beyond that and who knows where the next plateau will be.
     
    #6432     Aug 15, 2012
  3. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Crude!!!!
     
    #6433     Aug 15, 2012
  4. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Futures tend to work best because in general, they are more volatile. But I have yet to find a product where it doesn't work. I've even used ACD levels on mutual funds!!! FX works great on the longer macro levels.

    With equities I have found it identifies trends better then any other indicator I've seen.

    One of the nice things about ACD is it gives you very accurate target levels. As the old saying goes, the exits make the trade, not the entries.
     
    #6434     Aug 15, 2012
  5. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    And pretty much tagged. We got down to 145'16 tonight. QTR level is officially here. That's an 8 handle move folks from the failed QTR A up.
     
    #6435     Aug 15, 2012
  6. Quon

    Quon

    Yeah, crude looking to confirm the quarter A up here too. I would like to have seen it hang higher in the regular session, (came in a little and I didn't take it) but it looks good overnight.

    We could have a nice move in the market here upon us.
     
    #6436     Aug 15, 2012
  7. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Look at the QTR charts for gasoline and heating oil. Also, brent/wti spread blowing out huge to the upside. Brent has officially gone into backwardation.
     
    #6437     Aug 16, 2012
  8. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Here is is a spread chart of gasoline over crude. Up 10% since the monthly A up in July.
     
    #6438     Aug 16, 2012
  9. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Here is the steepener trade up almost 7% recently.
     
    #6439     Aug 16, 2012
  10. Quon

    Quon

    Didn't know about UGA. Nice one! That'll be on the list from now on.

    Thanks!
     
    #6440     Aug 16, 2012