The ACD Method

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by sbrowne126, Jul 16, 2009.

  1. nat gas.
     
    #5871     Jun 14, 2012
  2. IYM and FCX
     
    #5872     Jun 14, 2012
  3. Quon

    Quon

    So I'm seeing some +4s and +5s in my 5 day line guys. Have to admit, haven't seen those scores in a while...

    Tech is the one I'm noticing given how bad it's been, but Banks look good too.
     
    #5873     Jun 14, 2012
  4. John, are you net long or net short the ES? I presume you missed the question to in the conversation that you initiated in the other thread. So here is the best place to re-ask the question.
     
    #5874     Jun 15, 2012
  5. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Ron, I own some some downside puts in the ES for even money but I'm also short bonds via some out of the money calls and long puts (conversion). Overall, I would describe the position as neutral with the potential for some nice p&l on a sharp selloff. I'll put positions on next week after the greek elections as we'll see a large move either to the upside or downside.

    I've had these two positions on for awhile so they were not put on specifically for the greek elections.
     
    #5875     Jun 15, 2012
  6. A question to shore up my ignorance. It sounds to me that you trade like Nassim Taleb. Neutral positioning while waiting for a big or a small swan event.

    Do I have that right, or do you follow markets and try to pick off the movers on the day/week.

    You are an options trader, which I tried in the early part of the decade and found that I suck at that. I could never find out why options move and do not move. Maybe I could now, but I am soured on the experience. I like to keep it Homer like simple. ( Homer lives in our state btw, and so does Al Bundy:D )
     
    #5876     Jun 15, 2012
  7. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    No, I do not trade like Taleb. And no I do not usually put on neutral positions waiting for a big event. I've had these positions on for awhile along with nat gas. I trade directionally. ES confirmed a monthly A down and I got short and have used rallies to add to my short ES position. I'm short bonds on principle. I generally try to keep that position with soft deltas to minimize risks but I want to stay involved because when they break it will be the trade of the century.

    After the greek elections I'll have far more directional positions.
     
    #5877     Jun 15, 2012
  8. Well, it seems that although there more was to skin a cat, we are all trying to skin the same cat!:)

    You are right, careers will be made soon, best chance since 87, IMO.
     
    #5878     Jun 15, 2012
  9. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    EUR/USD now confirmed a weekly A up as well as a monthly A up. Interesting action ahead of the Greek elections.
     
    #5879     Jun 15, 2012
  10. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    The US Dollar Index is currently trying to make a monthly A down. I've often talked about how the longer you go in between signals, the better they usually are. The last monthly A down in the dollar was last October!

    My monthly level is 82.08.
     
    #5880     Jun 15, 2012