The ACD Method

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by sbrowne126, Jul 16, 2009.

  1. Lot of instruments have shrinking pivot for tomorrow.

    dates are 5/3, 5/4, /5/7.

    CL= 87,57,43

    rHO-heat= 139,107,24

    rNRB- RBOB= 139,107,60

    Coffee= 2.35, .58, .10

    These are meaningful in terms of VOLATILITY when they have 3 consecutive days of falling values.

    For example for S&P values are 3.92, 5.92 and .67.

    It would have been meaningful if 2nd day value was lower than 3.92 but it is higher.
     
    #5341     May 8, 2012
  2. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Damn man, I give up. LOL. My pivot values for crude are no where near his. Are my basic math skills that bad? I'm using the full 24 hour session for pivots. Maybe that's why.

    Mfb, do you know if he only uses rth?
     
    #5342     May 8, 2012
  3. As long as both of you will be selling soon or buying soon, is it that important?
     
    #5343     May 8, 2012
  4. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Not sure what you mean by that. The narrow pivots are not a directional indicator, they are a measurement of volatility. So they are suppose to give you an idea of when the high volatility days are. The math is pretty straight forward and I'm just perplexed how are numbers can be so far off unless he is only using RTH hours.
     
    #5344     May 8, 2012
  5. A derivative of buy the rumor and sell the news?
     
    #5345     May 8, 2012
  6. I mean that as a swing trader, you have range of tolerance, so to speak. And what the heck are you doing up at this hour?

    If you and Fish have close numbers, that is good enuf for swing traders to pull trigger, no?
     
    #5346     May 8, 2012
  7. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Sort of. Buy the rumor, sell the news presupposes that you know what the rumor is. We have no idea if there even is a rumor. But in a way there are some similarities in that once we find out the "news" the move will be over.
     
    #5347     May 8, 2012
  8. I also get the contracting pivots, but I would imagine that there would be a tell as to the direction of the breakout. Just postulating, that is all.
     
    #5348     May 8, 2012
  9. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    I've got work to do! I always go over my charts when I get back from the gym. I have a lot of oxygen flowing to the brain. Best time to do research.

    As far as swing trading, I think the narrow pivots can help you time the breakouts better. So it does help if you can anticipate the volatility.
     
    #5349     May 8, 2012
  10. Yeah, I get that, your macro views are definitely solid. I gotta admit that I was a bit hurt that there was no mini crash of something. Nice move in the Aussie during the Asian and early Euro, but no follow in the States. Frustrating.
     
    #5350     May 8, 2012