The ACD Method

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by sbrowne126, Jul 16, 2009.

  1. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Here are my 30 day number lines for the indices:

    SPY +6

    IWM +11

    QQQ -3

    DIA +5

    The Q's got hit on some earnings names but overall, this market is holding a nice bid.
     
    #5141     Apr 27, 2012
  2. 3*UNG-USO
     
    #5142     Apr 27, 2012
  3. Hi Mav,

    I did not mean number lines are showing weakness right now.

    I remember In Feb/March there were weeks when numbers lines

    were week but bonds kept going up, equities kept going and

    typically bond market is ahead in terms of giving clues into

    things to come.

    I keep hearing ( plus kept thinking ) what does bond market know

    that rest of us do not know.

    Point i was trying to make that when i started using 30 days number

    lines a year ago, i just took them at face value. I did not use

    them in conjunction with ' WHAT DID NOT HAPPEN IS MORE

    IMPORTANT THAN WHAT HAPPENED". Jim Dalton.

    Attached is 30 days number lines for S&P, metals, softs etc.

    There are some examples where market is performing as shown

    by number lines and then there are some examples where

    price action is not aligned with 30 days number line.


    On a separate note, i get more excited when 30 days number line

    first hits +9 and maintained it for 2 consecutive days.
     
    #5143     Apr 27, 2012
  4. Here is 30 days number line .

    I am still not 100% sure how to use number lines when values are at 24, 24, 26 etc.

    For the time being i just focus on when they hit +9 for the first time

    after being 0, +1 etc.

    Looks like Nat gas may hit +9 soon.
     
    #5144     Apr 27, 2012
  5. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    MFB, thanks for posting the file! Just so I am reading this right, is the 30 day number line for ES +9? Is it the 30 day cum ABCD line? I never know which line is which when I look at that.
     
    #5145     Apr 27, 2012
  6. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    As far as how I deal with the +24 numbers, the 5 day rolling really shows the change in momentum and that is precisely why I created that.
     
    #5146     Apr 27, 2012
  7. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Actually, when we got up to 1400 the first time in the ES I was commenting on here that the number lines were not confirming the price action in the ES and sure enough, we corrected 75 handles over the next 2 weeks. Then the number lines started to firm up really fast when we tested the QTR A down twice and sure enough we got a nice bounce. The number lines seem to lead the price action because you start seeing more and more failed A ups at the swing highs. The number lines start to drop pretty fast even though price is hanging around the highs.
     
    #5147     Apr 27, 2012
  8. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Wow King! You are moving in for the "double fade"! Gutsy move. :)
     
    #5148     Apr 27, 2012
  9. Shanb

    Shanb

    As a daytrader the 30 days arent going to help you alot...might be more useful to look at it through another lens ;).

    Lets say you are trading the energy complex, you could have rolling 5 day to see how they are all stacking up ;),
     
    #5149     Apr 27, 2012
  10. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Can anyone make sense of the number line attachment MBF posted? I tried looking at the soybeans number since I felt that was by far the strongest product right now and none of those numbers listed were strong. Anyone have any ideas?
     
    #5150     Apr 27, 2012