The ACD Method

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by sbrowne126, Jul 16, 2009.

  1. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    #3761     Jan 18, 2012
  2. Quon

    Quon

    Of note:

    XLB 30 day number line at 13. This is the leader now for the sectors I watch.

    Possibilities:
    DD, FCX, PX, DOW
     
    #3762     Jan 18, 2012
  3. MBC

    MBC

    Is a "blow" through this A' level a buy ?
     
    #3763     Jan 18, 2012
  4. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Copper confirmed a buy yesterday. The A up is 3.6563.
     
    #3764     Jan 18, 2012
  5. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Wow, you guys see ALTR and XLNX today? Smoking!

    Those chips are on fire!
     
    #3765     Jan 18, 2012
  6. I was going to ask about this, and these examples give me a good chance to. (they had large OR)

    I have been looking at statistics on equities concerning OR/DailyATR ratios, and behaviors.

    One thing I am noticing, is that alot of the time a large relative (volatile) OR, leads to a larger intraday move, and vice versa.

    The reason I bring this up is that awhile back, I think an idea that was being kicked around was that looking for small intraday ratios perhaps led to better setups. (small being a ratio of < .20 or around there)

    From what I have seen so far, small OR's usually lead to little action, and volatile/sloppy OR's lead to bigger intraday runs. So it seems kind of the reverse than what was suspected.

    Can anyone comment on this or add any insight? B/c I have been looking to stay away from larger than usual OR's, but in hindsight it seems like those were the best opportunities, when I reivew each days activity on stocks.

    (The only idea I can come up with is that finding small intraday OR's can be good candidates for moves that catch people off guard. Or perhaps failures off of an A up/down, to fade for a favorable R/R trade.)
     
    #3766     Jan 18, 2012
  7. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Everything is relative. A stock that is in a strong uptrend that has been relatively quiet lately but is breaking out of a tight OR usually leads to great follow. You can also have a stock with a wide OR that does exactly the same thing but again, it's coming out of a quiet pattern over the previous days or weeks. So I don't think you can just look at one day in a vacuum.
     
    #3767     Jan 18, 2012
  8. Amazing action action in USO - JJC the last week
     
    #3768     Jan 18, 2012
  9. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Absolutely. I use FCX as my proxy for JJC.
     
    #3769     Jan 18, 2012

  10. Best way to see if wide or, narrow or etc.. will materialize is keeping track of 30 days number line along with daily pivot range, 3 day rolling pivot range etc..

    Like Maverick74 said, it's all relative.


    If anyone knows a programmer who can write a programme for me to keep track of 30 days number line along with a up/ a down levels etc.. for stocks, futures etc.. please let me know.
     
    #3770     Jan 18, 2012