As traders I'm willing to bet you balk at strategies with low probability of success. Yeah I know, what matters is expected value, win = probability * amount so if amount is big enough you're still profitable as long as your repeated investments are low enough so you don't go bankrupt before realizing that profit. Still, I by far prefer 80% probability of success over 1% and am sure that also do almost all of you. And when probability = negligible and amount = ridiculous(ly low), no sane trader would take it. Yet, applying to jobs = 1 in 10,000 applicants probability of success, where success = a measly salary. All while investing a fuckton of money (time) on each "trade" (job application). Automated code tests which take hours of your time while costing the employer practically nothing. Worse, "homework" tests which cost you days. From now on I've got a rule, I'm no longer placing trades with lower than 80% probability of success. And by "trades" I mean a broader interpretation. More details later.