Tether collapse journal

Discussion in 'Crypto Assets' started by Pekelo, May 15, 2022.

  1. Interesting, thanks.
    The same e-wavers who predicted Crude Oil would go negative posted this chart,

    Screen Shot 2022-05-09 at 12.13.11 PM.png
     
    #41     May 17, 2022
  2. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    The burning of tethers should be natural, that is how the system supposed to work. What has been unnatural is that for years, they almost never burnt any. Now suddenly 7% of the supply is gone.
     
    #42     May 17, 2022
    PoundTheRock likes this.
  3. johnarb

    johnarb

    Tether USDT is the one I prefer to hold out of all the stablecoins. I usually hold more USDT than USDC
    • It has the best liquidity
    • It's accepted in most web3 platforms (i.e. defi yield farming or dex trading platforms)
    • It's on most if not all the major L1 blockchains
    • It's on most if not all the major centralized exchanges
    • I get the most value as close to $1 as any stablecoin, i.e. less slippage on trades (see first item)
    People who do not use cryptos would not understand all of these
     
    #43     May 17, 2022
  4. They

    They

  5. SumZero

    SumZero

    #45     May 20, 2022
  6. savoir

    savoir

    That’s not an audit. A supposed $75 billion in reserves and can’t secure an audit even from a two-bit accounting firm. Tick, tick, tick, tick, tick….
     
    #46     May 20, 2022
  7. Pekelo

    Pekelo

    I will save it here for prosperity, pretty long read:

    https://www.kalzumeus.com/2022/05/20/tether-required-recapitalization/

    "As an example of an asset which is certainly impaired: Tether has invested $62.8 million of the reserves into Celsius Network, including $52.8 million into their Series B of October 2021. (I am indebted to Intel Jakal for some legwork here.)

    Celsius is in free-fall due to the current market dislocation; the value of their native token is down by over 86% since their Series B. Clearly, that investment has suffered more than $20 million in impairment. Impairment of 1% of one line item on their balance sheet ate more than 10% of their equity, under assumptions which are extremely generous to Tether."
     
    #47     May 20, 2022
  8. Another billion down the drain? Guys, it's the weekend, let Paolo rest for a while.

    Screenshot_20220521-092932~2.png
     
    #48     May 21, 2022
    PoundTheRock and johnarb like this.
  9. johnarb

    johnarb

    I think it's entirely possible the Tether company stole $30 Billion but no one may never know

    Unlike banks who leverage the deposits 30 to 1 every USD deposit, Tether only issues 1 USDT per 1 USD deposit (and burns an equal amount in reverse per redemption)

    Most of the USDT are not in redeemable form. They're in local wallets and DeFi Web3 platforms (i.e. liquidity pools, staking for yields, etc)
     
    #49     May 21, 2022
    PoundTheRock and NoahA like this.
  10. Thanks for posting. I have been thinking that $12-16K would be a target for BTC. The big, risky bets by Michael Saylor (MSTR) and El Salvador need to be challenged -- it's almost like a law of the markets that stupid, risky behavior will eventually be punished.

    Had a good friend who lost a lot in Luna which made me take a look at Tether more closely. At a minimum, it's a big risk that's out there -- even if just the regulatory risk. Given that all the major cryptos are in serious downtrends, I'm a spectator in this space right now. I'm not anti-crypto but I'm also not a true believer. Heck, if Tulips were in a defined uptrend, I would be a buyer but this isn't the time to just stick your head in the sand and say "HODL."

    Ever notice that whenever someone is critical or skeptical of crypto the typical response is "You just don't get crypto."

    Financial stress in the system always exposes the darkness so we'll see what other things get exposed here this year.

    By the way, I like @johnarb. I think he's a decent guy. I give him some props for getting into some crypto and NFTs before everyone else. Where I disagree with him is that I believe these are just vehicles of speculation, nothing more, and that it's quite possible all of his holdings have already hit their all-time peak. Only time will tell.

    Finally, I encourage everyone to read "The Zurich Axioms" -- it's one of the best books on the mindset of market speculation out there.

    Should be an interesting year.


     
    #50     May 22, 2022