Technical outlook on Crude

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by JSSPMK, Feb 6, 2008.

What do you think?

  1. Agree

    23 vote(s)
    53.5%
  2. Disagree

    14 vote(s)
    32.6%
  3. Don't know

    6 vote(s)
    14.0%
  1. usman88

    usman88

    market bounced back from 10290. I added another short from 10530 earlier today. I should have also shorted from 10590 but was a bit scared. lol
    now i feel that a short from 10630-10650 would be a good trade for a dollar or two.
     
    #141     Mar 6, 2008
  2. usman88

    usman88

    hit a high of 10653 and now its at 10399. I got out at 10485 btw
    any predictions for monday anyone?
     
    #142     Mar 7, 2008

  3. I'm not trying to say anything about your trading or anything usman88... this kinda has the feel of a short squeeze...
    Oil bears probably feel glad the South American Oil production looks like it's going to be somewhat safer now.

    $12500+ an I'll sell a little with the bears :)
     
    #143     Mar 8, 2008
  4. usman88

    usman88

    short squeeze? I guess thats relative because usually my target is 10-20(10-15 per day) cents although i also go for 75+ cents(1/2 per day) moves. As I said earlier I am a daytrader.
     
    #144     Mar 9, 2008
  5. Wow!!

    This is unbelieveble. Everytime the oil sells off - it makes intraday highs.

    At what point can you say the trend has changed?

    I think the its all a bit overdone - but dont want to go short until im really sure - any ideas anyone?

    Currently trading $107.60

    If the figures come out bullish on Weds - there will be no stopping this thing...............
     
    #145     Mar 10, 2008
  6. Yeah, I still am scratching my head this morning after the 10:30am open. Tried a little to the short side above $106 after the spike up and quickly got stopped out. I'm going to wait for a better spot to get back in. Oil is too crazy right now... too much whipsaw action.
     
    #146     Mar 10, 2008
  7. Yeah same here, cant really see any major fundamental news for the move. Looks like no sellers really want to stand in the way of this.

    WTI has moved from a low of 98.90 last tuesday to a high of 107.85 today. Thats nearly a $9 move in less than a week.

    Im pretty new to trading the crude futures, but they make trading the dax or bund a walk in the park LOL

    Not really used to this sort of intraday and daily volatility. I can see why a lot of rookies/noobs get absoloutly smoked in this market. :confused:
     
    #147     Mar 10, 2008
  8. $109.72 high today!

    Thats over $10 in a week.

    Anyone brave enough to pick a top? :eek:
     
    #148     Mar 11, 2008
  9. usman88

    usman88

    this was one
    I am expecting market to drop to $105 today or tomorrow
     
    #149     Mar 11, 2008
  10. Nope. I will play either side short term but being short is definitely riskier long term at this point.
     
    #150     Mar 11, 2008