Technical Analysis Doesn't Work

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by rcanfiel, Jul 16, 2007.

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  1. clever.

    it was not meant to teach, it was meant to illustrate how i try to approach the market.

    thank you, tdog.

    regards,

    surf
     
    #621     Aug 16, 2007
  2. there are lemmings everywhere. We should be dosing them with reality, not pushing them into the fables of unsubstantiable trading methods

    Gee, here are some good books on TA!!!

    Hey, what settings are you using on your RSI?

    Hey Fred, I see you have been successfully following ADX in the third junction of Mars. What is your secret?

    If I use 50 indicators, what is the threshold for entry when 30 of them turn bullish?
     
    #622     Aug 17, 2007
  3. ^^^^^^

    ^^^^^^

    Hershey and his minions believe as their axiom #1 "the market is always right".

    This is like telling the lost driver who asks "where am I ?" the answer : "you are in your car."

    It is factually correct but actually worthless in giving useful information to the lost driver.

    Here is a summary of the Yogi Berra like TA from Jack Hershey in the epic Spydertrader futures journal:

    If the market is trending, you should have taken a position in the correct direction at the maximum point of the previous move

    If the market has turned from a trend you should have reversed at the maximum point of the previous move.

    What is the sound of one hand clapping ?
     
    #623     Aug 17, 2007

  4. did he really say that? what a trip!

    surf
     
    #624     Aug 17, 2007
  5. True!
     
    #625     Aug 17, 2007
  6. The market is always right.

    The market is perfect and infallible because it is perfectly random and perfectly chaotic.

    One must learn to view price move inside of that chaos on a real-time basis to understand what Jack is saying. Looking at the market using old standards and yes, you will be as lost as your driver analogy.

    That is part of the reason why individuals do not understand what Jack, Spyder and I do. They look at what we do using their own parameters and it doesn't work. It's like someone trying to understand how a Wankel engine works using the blueprint for a for a typical 6 cylinder engine. The first response would become, "you're crazy, this doesn't work" and you would be correct.

    Anytime you apply your own relatively untrained opinion regarding someone's exact trading environment to that person's specific application the outcome will never be congruent. And as must as we try we can not fit a tomato inside a thimble.
     
    #626     Aug 17, 2007

  7. this is psychobabble, classic guru speak of the first order.

    there is a diconnect from reality here. deliberate or not.

    read the first two lines, tells one all they need to know.

    surf:D
     
    #627     Aug 19, 2007
  8. Confucius sez: A rock is always right... because it can't be wrong.
     
    #628     Aug 19, 2007
  9. Re disconnects from reality, you of all people should know.

    And the fact that you don't understand the rest of it speaks volumes.

    LC
     
    #629     Aug 19, 2007
  10. do you really take proflogic's post seriously?

    :confused:
     
    #630     Aug 19, 2007
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