"Tech Analysis" - Isabel

Pretty nasty looking chart as of Friday's close. The trend on this baby is not good.

My merchant marine bud said the sea level pressure in millibars is the key - low 900s high 800s - very powerful. This one is at 918-920 today.


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT13/refresh/AL1303W5+GIF/122058W5.gif

Geo.

 

How can we short her?

 

Probably by going long building supply companies and plywood mfrs.

That is one nasty-looking map.

 

Looks like it is heading straight for South Carolina.

 

This is a nice little graphic:

http://hurricane.accuweather.com/adcbin/hurricane/ocean.asp?ocean=atlantic&type=loop

 

Thank yoy, Jesus. Thank you for sending some place else. Thank you, Jesus.

 

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200313_model.gif

 

How would you play this?

Short
insurance companies
local utilities
local companies


Long
building suppliers
home builders
trailer manufacturers


And if you lived in the hurricane belt like I do, you would be shaking in your shoes until the damn thing passes! I just can't even think about the market right now!

 

That makes 2 of us ... and I live out on an island in SC.

 

over at that haven for gamblers, https://www.tradesports.com/ , one can buy or sell the Isabel contract.
If the eyewall makes landfall on the continental US, you win; if not, you lose.

Bid 55 ask 65

Full Disclosure: No Positions