Taking 76K to 500K by Year End

Discussion in 'Journals' started by neke, Feb 25, 2007.

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  1. neke

    neke

    In general I can use a maximum of 90% of account value for an intra-day trade. Overnight positions are somewhat less. Even then it depends on the volatility of the stock. Very non-volatile intra-day positions I could use twice that (like MTB in this week's examples), while others like RACK in the example I would commit less. I have no hard-and-fast formulas.

    Indicators? I generally do not use any technical indicators for my discretionary trades, just raw gut-feeling from my experience which looks at a whole lot of parameters: the gravity of the news moving the stock, the fundamentals, the surprise factor etc. My automated trades use very simple technical parameters plus a few fundamental criteria, all quantitatively defined.
     
    #81     Apr 7, 2007
  2. mfarooq

    mfarooq

    Hi, Good luck in your trades.
    I trade only one stock QQQQ and its derivatives and options, mostly.
    I am interested in, How you choose your stocks? Scan, news source, internet chat ?

    In your non discretionary trade what indicators you use?
    TIA.
     
    #82     Apr 7, 2007
  3. monee

    monee

    2 Important points as far as risk as I see it..

    On a weekly/monthly basis you must figure out the maximum drawdown you can accept.
    Then take that amount and divide it by the total risk of each trade
    Total risk of trade being total $ loss if stop is hit.
    From there you can play with the total # of trades and the share/contract size allowed before the maximum drawdown allowed is reached.
    Generally unless you are counter trend trading on a large time frame the larger stop width will increase your win %.
    The exception to this larger timeframe trend is with individual stocks and news the trend even on a large time frame could reverse fairly easily.
    I trade ES/ER where the trends are more reliable.
    Never go crazy intraday constantly looking for that reversal after losing and losing and losing.
    I think we all realize its that stupid behavior that kills the account ,and if stupid behavior that gets rewarded with a win or stratch is probably the most dangerous thing to ones account..
    Pick the spot that looks like the entry ,give it enough room and leave it,anything else is chasing a falling knife.
    Enjoying your journal.
     
    #83     Apr 7, 2007
  4. vetten

    vetten

    I think this journal is absolutely crazy

    just a guy that gives you all the roller coaster figures at the end of each week without giving you an idea of what he`s doing.
    goes to meetings with a big shaky trade on without stop loss I suppose.
    dont know what his kick is.
     
    #84     Apr 8, 2007
  5. vetten

    vetten

    I think this journal is absolutely crazy

    just a guy that gives you all the roller coaster figures at the end of each week without giving you an idea of what he`s doing.
    goes to meetings with a big shaky trade on without stop loss I suppose.
    does that sound like somebody who`s trading for years?
    come on!

    dont know what his kick is.
     
    #85     Apr 8, 2007
  6. Could you post your entry/ exit on the trades you take from now on?...maybe a chart or two?...

    cm
     
    #86     Apr 8, 2007
  7. neke

    neke

    Below is the expected rate of growth of balance on my account to attain the target of 500K, starting from the 76K at the start of the thread (2007-02-25). The implied rate is 4.3548% per week without withdrawals. At the end of week six, the expected balance was $98971,while the actual balance came to $119236, showing I am ahead of target. Each week, I shall include a note whether I am ahead of target or behind. I shall try and keep withdrawals low so as not to impact the attainment of the target.

    Code:
    Week	End Date	Opening Bal.	Closing Bal.
    1	2007-03-02	76636		79973
    2	2007-03-09	79973		83456
    3	2007-03-16	83456		87090
    4	2007-03-23	87090		90883
    5	2007-03-30	90883		94841
    6	2007-04-06	94841		98971
    7	2007-04-13	98971		103281
    8	2007-04-20	103281		107779
    9	2007-04-27	107779		112472
    10	2007-05-04	112472		117370
    11	2007-05-11	117370		122481
    12	2007-05-18	122481		127815
    13	2007-05-25	127815		133381
    14	2007-06-01	133381		139190
    15	2007-06-08	139190		145251
    16	2007-06-15	145251		151576
    17	2007-06-22	151576		158177
    18	2007-06-29	158177		165066
    19	2007-07-06	165066		172254
    20	2007-07-13	172254		179755
    21	2007-07-20	179755		187583
    22	2007-07-27	187583		195752
    23	2007-08-03	195752		204277
    24	2007-08-10	204277		213172
    25	2007-08-17	213172		222456
    26	2007-08-24	222456		232143
    27	2007-08-31	232143		242253
    28	2007-09-07	242253		252802
    29	2007-09-14	252802		263811
    30	2007-09-21	263811		275300
    31	2007-09-28	275300		287288
    32	2007-10-05	287288		299799
    33	2007-10-12	299799		312855
    34	2007-10-19	312855		326479
    35	2007-10-26	326479		340697
    36	2007-11-02	340697		355533
    37	2007-11-09	355533		371016
    38	2007-11-16	371016		387173
    39	2007-11-23	387173		404034
    40	2007-11-30	404034		421629
    41	2007-12-07	421629		439990
    42	2007-12-14	439990		459150
    43	2007-12-21	459150		479145
    44	2007-12-28	479145		500011
    
     
    #87     Apr 10, 2007
  8. Thanks for sharing your money management with us.

    Hopefully someone can actually get something of value from it, but don't be surprised if they don't post it.

    When people get something of value, they usually run with it.

    JJ
     
    #88     Apr 11, 2007
  9. vetten

    vetten

    money management or profit targets?????
     
    #89     Apr 11, 2007
  10. neke

    neke

    Weekly Update for week 7 ended 4/13/2007

    Lots of frenetic trading, but not much to show for it. Began on sad note on Monday losing 10K shorting the biotech craze (shorted 9000 NUVO @ 4.46 covered at 5.16 for a loss of more than 6K, fortunately shorted 4300 of the same stock Tuesday at 6.40 covered at 5.60 for a modest gain. Regret not shorting more and not waiting till Wednesday when that stock tanked to 4.40). Altogether my discretionary trades lost more than 8K for the week, while my automated made 14K, to give me a net of more than 5K.

    Code:
    
    Balance B/F:                   119,236
    Profit for the week              5,718
    -------------------------------------
    Balance C/F:                   124,954
    Number of Trades	            34
    Number of Profitable Trades    	    21
    
    Since Inception of Thread   2/25/2007 - 4/13/2007
    
    Balance B/F:            	76,636
    Net Gain (Less Margin Interest)	61,318
    Cash Withdrawal		       -13,000
    -------------------------------------
    Balance C/F:                   124,954
    Number of Trades	           174
    Number of Profitable Trades        113
    
    Expected Balance at this time to be on track for Year-End Target : 
    			       103,281
    Status:			       Ahead of Target
    
    Top/Bottom Discretionary Trades for the week
    
    TICKER,ENTRYDATETIME,EXITDATETIME,QTY,PURCHASE AMOUNT, SOLD AMOUNT,NET GAIN,TYPE
    NUVO,2007-04-09 08:16:20,2007-04-09 09:46:33,9000,46170,39940,-6260.6,SHORT
    SILC,2007-04-09 10:18:58,2007-04-10 11:22:27,4000,85579.19,90938.38,5307.6,SHORT
    
    
     
    #90     Apr 13, 2007
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