Taking 76K to 500K by Year End

Discussion in 'Journals' started by neke, Feb 25, 2007.

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  1. lojze

    lojze

    Neke, do you play in this time with CFC options at all?

    I have no knowledge about options (except that they are dangerous), so give me some information about playing with such options.
     
    #351     Aug 23, 2007
  2. Options are not inherently dangerous. The danger is always using something you do not know anything about incorrectly. For those who think options are dangerous and stocks and bonds are not, just ask Enron shareholders and Long-term Capital Management (they lost billions on bond trades, among others).
     
    #352     Aug 23, 2007
  3. lojze

    lojze

    What differences do you find between options and futures?


     
    #353     Aug 23, 2007
  4. neke

    neke

    At current option premiums, I would not play CFC at all. I know the premiums have come down substantially from what they were last week (when I lost 50% in two hours buying a put, even though the underlying stock price hadn't changed), but unless you have a strong conviction about the next direction of the stock, I would stay away.

    At this time I only do options, not futures. For long calls/puts, you have the right but not the obligation to buy/sell at a given price. For that right you pay a premium. Futures are entirely different: it is both a right and an obligation to buy at a given price sometime in the future. In futures, you could lose more than the amount in your account! People are attracted there because of the huge leverage available. I am staying away from there at the moment.
     
    #354     Aug 23, 2007
  5. lojze

    lojze

    Neke, did you trade FLML options maybe?
    Their trend today was very clear.
     
    #355     Aug 23, 2007
  6. neke

    neke

    Weekly Update for week 26 ended 08/24/2007

    Glad to see the end of the week, and glad to know there is another week to look forward to. Two related but awful trades on Monday defined the result for the week. Shorted RIMM at 225 after the massive run-up, forgetting the market has just changed from bearish to bullish. Added to my pain by buying puts on the same stock. Closed the stock for a loss of 22K after watching unbelievingly as the stock kept climbing all day long, closed the option for a loss of 20K. My positions monitor could not detect the excess leverage, since it saw the trades as unrelated. Nothing I could do for the rest of the week could change the direction of the account.

    Now I really need to be cautious. I know I have said that all along, but it is important to keep reminding myself of that. After 26 weeks, the weekly rate of return is 4.77% compounded. With 18 weeks remaining, and assuming no impact from further withdrawals, I need to make 4.27% weekly to attain the target. It is certainly tough, but I know with a lot of discipline, and a commitment to look well before leaping, it is attainable.


    Code:
    
    Balance B/F:                   		269,465
    Loss for the week 		        -53,093
    ------------------------------------------------
    Balance C/F:                   		216,372
    Number of Trades	            	 39
    Number of Profitable Trades    	    	 24
    
    Since Inception of Thread   2/25/2007 - 08/25/2007
    
    Balance B/F:                   		 76,636
    Net Gain (Less Margin Interest)		180,736
    Cash Withdrawal		       		-41,000
    ------------------------------------------------
    Balance C/F:                   		216,372	(Adjusted balance before withdrawals is 257372, up 236% )
    Number of Trades	           	 679
    Number of Profitable Trades        	 393
    
    Expected Balance at this time to be on track for Year-End Target : 
    			       232,143
    Status:			       Ahead of Target		(Based on adjusted balance before withdrawals)
    
    Top/Bottom Discretionary Trades for the week
    
    TICKER	ENTRY DATE/TIME		EXIT DATE/TIME		QTY	PURCHASE AMT	SOLD AMT	GAINS/LOSS	TYPE
    
    BCSI	2007-08-22-12-36-23	2007-08-22-15-00-32	4000	289200		300858		11633		LONG
    CFC	2007-08-23-10-24-52	2007-08-23-13-29-35	10000	221500		226850		5317		SHORT
    ------------------------------------------------------------
    RFYUD	2007-08-20-10-05-55	2007-08-20-15-53-20	8000	76320		56800		-19671		OPTIONS (RIMM SEP 220 PUT -- before split)
    RIMM	2007-08-20-08-10-28	2007-08-20-15-55-07	2000	471875		450316		-21606		SHORT
    
    							
    
                                            (Before Interest and Other charges)
                                            TRANSACTIONS ANALYSIS FROM 2007-02-25 TO 2007-08-25
    
                                 Current Week                                    |	Since Inception of Thread
                                                                                 |                                           
                    Method          Gains/Loss       No Of          Profitable   |  Gains/Loss       No Of       Profitable  
                                                    Trades              Trades   |                  Trades           Trades  
    Automated       AutoTrade1            2531           8                   6   |        7535         169               95  
                    AutoTrade2          -10767           3                   1   |        2119          10                7  
                    AutoTrade3               0           0                   0   |       -4523           3                0  
                                    -----------     --------        ------------ |  -----------     ------       ------------
    Total Automated                      -8236          11                   7   |        5132         182              102  
                                    -----------     --------        ------------ |  -----------     ------       ------------
    Discretionary   Long                 10119          10                   8   |      -21432         177              105  
                    Short               -28578          12                   7   |       -4355         171              101  
                    Options(long)       -26399           6                   2   |      202463         149               85  
                                    -----------     --------        ------------ |  -----------     ------       ------------
    Total Discretionary                 -44857          28                  17   |      176677         497              291  
                                    ===========     ========        ============ |  ===========     ======       ============
    Net Totals                          -53093          39                  24   |      181809         679              393  
                                    ===========     ========        ============ |  ===========     ======       ============
    
    
     
    #356     Aug 24, 2007
  7. Awesome thread...I'm watching here. :)
     
    #357     Aug 24, 2007
  8. neke,
    While that is true by definition, keep in mind that most, if not all, brokers have safeguards in place to liquidate positions before your account balance reaches a negative equity and they have to send Vito over to collect.

    Most in fact have a shut off valve if you lose so much % in a day. It forces you to call and ask for permission to trade more. Yes, this has happened once to me and it's a wake up call to say the least. Most traders are not aware of this behind-the-scenes safeguard until they realize they cannot place a trade. As for what the magical number is, I am not sure. I would guess it varies broker to broker and by account size and experience as well.
     
    #358     Aug 24, 2007
  9. neke

    neke

    I know the safeguards are there. But what happens when there is an overnight gap like following 9/11 or the crash of 1987? It would be interesting to know what brokers did to those whose accounts were wiped out before the positions could be closed.
     
    #359     Aug 24, 2007
  10. mde2004

    mde2004

    Neke,

    Will you continue to post after the year is over even if you reach 500k?

    I enjoy reading this thread the most out of all the threads on ET. Keep the gains coming.
     
    #360     Aug 24, 2007
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