It varies from model to model. Testing typically shows 1-4k per contract max drawdown for each model. The portfolios do better than the individual models, of course. The whole thing is built for robustness and reliability, not to produce flashy numbers. M
What do you mean by the unit? The whole thing of 6/4? And what is the expected return per this unit per month?
Yes, one unit is the 6/4. The expected average return of this unit is in the area of $5k/month. This lease fee works out to about 10% of the expected average profits, which is half of the incentive fee one would pay to the typical CTA. I settled on half because the client accepts the risk that the systems will not perform in the future as they have in testing (whereas the CTA is paid only when profitable), and the client must be compensated fairly for accepting that risk. Do you think this is unreasonable? M
No, I would not call it unreasonable. How long have you been running this deal and how does the actual performance compare to the backtested one?
I've been running the present portfolio for several months now. The individual models were completed and have been traded off and on for 1-3 years (different for each model). The actual results have been consistent with the hypotheticals over that time. M
Ok, thanks for your replies. My friend wanted to release a combo of two systems based on a similar entry idea but slightly different in details for ES and ER2. For 6 contracts (3+3) this generates $2,000 if not more a month on average. Hmm... he is a generous guy and since he makes a good living trading he thought that he would sell it for $995 with a full disclosure limiting it to 20-30 copies only. Well, I guess he might be overly generous then. Thanks for telling me how much this kind of stuff retails on the market. I might as well tell my friend to rethink his idea.