switching gears to Price Action via SLA

Discussion in 'Journals' started by gears, Feb 16, 2014.

  1. gears

    gears

    You mean the overnight action?
     
    #211     Jan 13, 2015
  2. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    Yes.
     
    #212     Jan 13, 2015
  3. gears

    gears

    Alright - I'll review and make note of what transpired.
     
    #213     Jan 13, 2015
  4. gears

    gears

    Per the suggestion of Db to not exclude the overnight action, I've reviewed it using 15 minute bars (rather than 1 minute bars) as the behavior is still visible.

    So yesterday's trading ended (NY hours) inside a rather narrow range of about 6 points.
    A - New value was sought out, but it didn't hold - back into the range.
    B - Let's take a trip to the southern end and see if we can pick up some steam here. The price area held for more time, but the range is where all the trades were happening.
    C - Let's take another trip back to the upper end. Nope - denied again. As with B, another try occurred to the south.
    D - Let's try the upper end again. A little more traction this time and a HH, but it was back into the range, but on the upper end of the range.
    E - Another HH, but price quickly moved back into the range and moreso than after D.
    F - An attempt to exceed E, but buyers seem lonely out there on there own. What a surprise that after that, price makes a more significant move south.
    G - Price heads south, exits the range, but can't make it down to the 4150 area.
    H - Back into the range to the top.
    I - Another trip down to the bottom.
    J - A major shift in who seems to be in charge. Demand moved swiftly and exceeded the 50% level of the down move yesterday. The next question is - will it hold?
    K - Retreat of price after the definitive move up, but not back into the range. Price hung out in an equilibrium area - not retreating, but advancing slowly.
    L - Price has exceeded the previous high. It doesn't stay there long though.
    M - Though price retreats, it doesn't breach the swing low at K.
    N - Another higher high.

    It's safe to say that price was telegraphing it's intentions after a series of higher highs and higher lows. With the next resistance area around 4230, that was the logical next step.

    20150112 overnight into 20150113 15min.png
     
    #214     Jan 13, 2015
  5. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    What does this mean?
     
    #215     Jan 13, 2015
  6. gears

    gears

    The following bar is a pause, but two bars after it illustrates more of a 'failure' to retain that price level. Price didn't advance further.
     
    #216     Jan 13, 2015
  7. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    A "failure" to hold a particular price level is what creates swing points. Of what importance is the fact that price held above the previous swing high for an hour?

    And try to get away from thinking in terms of "bars".
     
    #217     Jan 13, 2015
  8. gears

    gears

    The importance of holding above the previous swing point is that, the general nature of the trend is still up.
    In this example, I was using the notion of bars just to explain the area.
     
    #218     Jan 13, 2015
  9. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    And where does the decline from L to M stop?
     
    #219     Jan 13, 2015
  10. gears

    gears

    Right around a previous swing point (4185), but below the 50% area. Price couldn't hold past the 50% area.
     
    #220     Jan 13, 2015