Swing/Position Trades

Discussion in 'Journals' started by dgabriel, Mar 13, 2002.

  1. Almost any bargain candidate now is going to be under its 200 sma. You want something with good potential to recapture a key ma like the 200, but it is beside the point. This is an anomolous period we are witnessing, and you have to stretch and widen your frame of reference to recognize opportunities. The averages are not going to continue selling off like this. They will rally, it may not stick for the longer run, but mean reversion will operate on the averages in the shorter term. The selling won't just taper off and volatility disappear, you will see bargain hunting and short covering. Some stocks will have wicked snapbacks.

    If you mean that the Dow is now more sold out than it has ever been vis-a-vis other dramatic selloffs, and will that have a consequence, let'ssee.
     
    #301     Jul 23, 2002
  2. July 23, SOld SMH calls 1.20 -.40
     
    #302     Jul 24, 2002
  3. Took 2nd position scale into Rydex SP fund at 200% performance. I think my basis is the equivilant of 880. Intermediate to long term trade
     
    #303     Jul 24, 2002
  4. trade4me

    trade4me

    Woulda coulda shoulda. Shorted QCOM yesterday at 29 thinking this market would help this stock sell-off. Looking good until the last hour of the day. Spiked up 2 points. Yikes. Still in downtrend and therefore I'm still holding on. What do you guys like going long?
     
    #304     Jul 24, 2002
  5. Long QLGC 36.81

    I hope you held that QCOM short and cashed out, trade4me.

    It is very difficult to like individual issues long right now, because not much is in an uptrend, the market is sold down hard and just giving a bounce, the Vix is dropping quick but there has not been follow through yet on the massive reversal day. Plus the semis are still getting the shit kicked out of them.

    I took a long on QLGC as a contra reaction.

    LTR is giving some nice movement. BZH is also, trading at 63, its book value is 56, but all of that is inventory so if a housing correction emerges, that figure will drop.

    WLP still looks like it can go higher. And some biotechs. BBH is still correcting.

    If there is follow through next week, there should be a crapload of long candidates.
     
    #305     Jul 26, 2002
  6. Sold QLGC @ 39

    +2.19
     
    #306     Jul 29, 2002
  7. long BRCD @ 18.68
    1/2 position. Faces resistance at 50 ma,which is HOD,but today is the first higher close (likely it is 3:40 now) since its recent top,Also put in a higher low yesterday.
     
    #307     Jul 29, 2002
  8. QLGC is starting to look like a possible short again to me.
     
    #308     Jul 29, 2002
  9. short ESRX 49.80
     
    #309     Jul 30, 2002
  10. cover ESRX 51.87 -2.07

    too fast, small shares.
     
    #310     Jul 31, 2002