Surf's Special Situation Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by marketsurfer, Aug 4, 2012.

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  1. mm19

    mm19

    dont agree on this one. fund manager is just another member of crowd. and they are not good traders on average. see performance.

    that makes it worthvile beeing good trader, whether fund manager or not, i guess.
     
    #2311     Jan 26, 2013
  2. cornix

    cornix

    I would appreciate if you criticize and expose my nativity with real reasons. Seriously, always better to know the truth even if that means I am defeated in the argument.

    P. S. Regarding "the flock". Once again, Surf, I don't sell any trading system or education, don't plan to be a "guru", nothing like that. Just personal experience and opinion. Appreciated if some flaws are exposed.

    P. P. S. I consider "articulate writer" a compliment, considering English is not my first language. Thanks. :)
     
    #2312     Jan 26, 2013
  3. It is a compliment. However, I have done the above over and over again. Your very market premise is flawed. You state you make consistent $$ by chart reading, i don't believe you based on my my experience with EVERYONE else who makes such claims. The premise is flawed, therefore if you are telling the truth about success, the positive run will soon end. surf
     
    #2313     Jan 26, 2013
  4. Lucrum

    Lucrum

    One of your so called price drivers is the COT report. Which is, by modern standards, ancient history by the time they're published.
     
    #2314     Jan 26, 2013
  5. NoDoji

    NoDoji

    Cornix and I observed each other trading live for quite a while and we were both trading off stuff we saw happening on charts (in real time during active trading hours) and we were both profitable for many days in a row. There was a pattern to what he was doing and a pattern to what I was doing. Here we were, trading different instruments, having evolved our day trading independently of each other (ET's old chat room, where I first met him when I was a brand new trader, had been long closed), and yet we were trading in a very similar manner based on stuff we saw on price charts.

    Maybe that time we traded together was just a lucky streak.

    Maybe I'm making all this up to attract followers.

    FWIW, various ET members have offered me the opportunity to profit from mentoring, from selling my trading plan, from writing articles/blogs, and from helping to manage a private fund.

    If I had no way of profiting from my trading, wouldn't it make sense that I'd have taken advantage of some of these offers?

    Bro Surf, I know it's difficult for you to believe that a small retail trader can generate regular decent income using technical analysis of price action.

    I remember as a beginner, allegedly experienced traders would tells me things like:

    Don't fight the trend.

    When it's making new highs look for a pullback to get long.

    Why are you shorting strong stocks? Short weak stocks that are making lows.

    Never average down.

    Have you considered using stop orders to enter trades?

    Take your P/L off the screen; just follow your plan and the profit takes care of itself.


    I thought they were all nuts, just regurgitating crap they read in trading books.

    When I later finally reached the point I was seriously contemplating giving up, someone recommended a book to me and although I was confused by it at first and thought it was academic stuff (after the fact analysis) that would never work in the real world, some of it made sense.

    When, thousands of hours later, I had learned how to apply these ideas and trade profitably on a consistent basis, able to trade long or short and to switch on a dime when indicated, able to trade any liquid instrument on any given day, I realized that what I was now doing was:

    Milking a trend for all it's worth.

    Buying pullbacks in trends.

    Buying strength. Shorting weakness.

    Never averaging down, and placing a small stop loss on every trade.

    Using stop orders to enter trades, letting the action of price itself sweep me into the trade.

    Leaving my P/L off the screen; just following my plan and letting the profit take care of itself.


    I guess I'm officially a crotchety old trader now, repeating crap I read in trading books.
     
    #2315     Jan 26, 2013
    Datum likes this.
  6. If we just look at track records, I remember seeing a 3rd party verified track record from Cornix some time ago. The more you are reminded to this, the quicker you seem to forget. :D
     
    #2316     Jan 26, 2013


  7. I thought I saw this. Cornix is a profitable trader and showed it. He is a proponent of TA and has shown a positive track record. Why is there still an argument?
     
    #2317     Jan 26, 2013
  8. tobbe

    tobbe

    ... because Surf is fooled by randomness? :p

    :D
     
    #2318     Jan 26, 2013
  9. dv4632

    dv4632

    Yeah, I've always assumed that is the ulterior motive behind all this back and forth discussion. LOL :p
     
    #2319     Jan 26, 2013
  10. themickey

    themickey

    You couch your phrases in such specific ways that it sounds like it came from the Gospel of Surf. Very dogmatic.

    If you showed me a chart Surf, I wouldn't have an opinion much, I certainly wouldn't predict the next move as I have found I am wrong most of the time I predict, I just find the market always fools my mind.

    You see, the reason my systems are profitable is because I only trade ONE instrument and the other 999999999 stocks, shares, indices, warrants blah I have no clue about.

    Do you get it? Fine tune something and stick to your knitting, deviate from your high probability system by one iota and you are on the point of losing money.

    I think your reason for TA failure is you think some stupid MA or RSI or whatever simplistic text book crap will work on 999999999 instruments, and I'm pretty confident that's how most failed trading people think.
     
    #2320     Jan 26, 2013
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