Surf's Special Situation Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by marketsurfer, Aug 4, 2012.

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  1. brothers and sisters, if you are not already LONG the market here, its not too late to jump on the train --- I am a super bull going into 2013--there is explosive upside potential with tremendous amount of money waiting to be deployed-- for sure I was early, but conviction remains strong. happy new year! surf
     
    #1871     Dec 31, 2012
  2. Thanks, but I prefer to trade based on probabilities, not conviction. :cool:

    Happy New Year too!
     
    #1872     Dec 31, 2012
  3. how do you calculate your probabilities? Unfortunately, without quantifying the term exactly, probability is meaningless.

    surf:D :cool:
     
    #1873     Dec 31, 2012
  4. Oh yeah, we have broke even on the trade-- holding here for the RIDE HIGHER! surf
     
    #1874     Dec 31, 2012
  5. In your opinion, how does trading compare to blackjack, poker, and sports betting? Do you allow odds and probability to factor into those games?
     
    #1875     Dec 31, 2012
  6. What would constitute such proof? When you were daytrading the combine, were you trading based on TA, or were you using price driver analysis to place intraday trades?
     
    #1876     Dec 31, 2012
  7. just randomly guessing--- i was doing it for article material and to show my support for what I think is a good idea.

    surf
     
    #1877     Dec 31, 2012
  8. LOL...Dude, you crack me up. Happy new year!
     
    #1878     Dec 31, 2012
  9. thanks, man! happy new year to you.

    up about 40 points here, 900 plus to go as the super bull unfolds in early 2013.....

    Don't fear, surf is here to guide the way into 2013.

    :D :D
     
    #1879     Dec 31, 2012
  10. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    blackjack and poker are closed systems with defined probabilities even if the information presented to you isn't perfect.

    sports betting and markets aren't closed systems. If you were privvy to every congressional meeting (public, private, and secret) on the Fiscal Cliff could you come up with probabilities on going over? Or would those probabilities still be basically made up?
     
    #1880     Dec 31, 2012
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