Surf's Special Situation Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by marketsurfer, Aug 4, 2012.

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  1. " The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.........."

    a specific date would be helpful so i can load the boat.
     
    #171     Sep 6, 2012
  2. Very true. I'm giving it untill 11-1 to start playing out. If the projection isn't confirmed by then , I misread the data. surf:D
     
    #172     Sep 6, 2012
  3. Quote from marketsurfer:

    Down about $3 on the JCP short. Things are unfolding slower than forecast but nothing has changed with th macro picture on the company. Continuing to hold. surf



    News Flash: JCP is up 42.5% in premarket trading today...A surprise buyout move by...

    Only a remote possibility? Sure, but are you willing to bet your account on it? I've done a lot of shorting over the years, but I've finally given it up. They are some of the most frustrating, aggravating and, for the most part, just not worth it trades I've done.

    Trading shorts without stops requires some very deeeep pockets, Surfy. Deeper than you probably got... Good luck.
     
    #173     Sep 6, 2012
  4. Maverick74

    Maverick74

    Surf, I just checked, did you know that 31% of the float is short? I have found this to be a very dangerous trade when a stock is breaking out with that much of the float short. Look at the charts of SHLD and WTW to see examples where they can double in price only to collapse later but that double wipes everyone out. Be careful.
     
    #174     Sep 6, 2012
  5. Fah Q

    Fah Q

    he doesnt need to look at charts, the price drivers tell him all he needs to know. if the driver say hold, or short more he will. if price goes to $50 but drivers say short, then he will hold or maybe short more. it doesn't matter how far price goes against him, he's taken care of all the possibilities beforehand with his position sizing. whatever happens, happens.
     
    #175     Sep 6, 2012
  6. Rol

    Rol

    Price drivers sounds to me like a red light green light system, but based on fundamentals rather than looking at price “in the rear view mirror.”
     
    #176     Sep 6, 2012
  7. Daal

    Daal

    JCP last earnings release leading to a huge volume spike and the creeper up movement was one of the most obvious bottoms I've seen this year
     
    #177     Sep 7, 2012

  8. Yes, thanks. There is a reason for the heavy short loading---something I believe I identified also.... Surf
     
    #178     Sep 7, 2012
  9. Brass

    Brass

    If that is indeed the case, then the implication is that your position is negligible in relation to your account size. Therefore, while a significantly adverse move would be fairly painless for you since, according to you, your position size doesn't require a stop, then it only follows that a significantly favorable move in your chosen direction would not be particularly meaningful either. What, then, is the point, especially for what you regard to be a special situation? Serious question.
     
    #179     Sep 7, 2012
  10. Fah Q

    Fah Q

    also he adds to his losing positions but does he add to winning positions as well??
     
    #180     Sep 7, 2012
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