Surf's Special Situation Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by marketsurfer, Aug 4, 2012.

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  1. cornix

    cornix

    It was third-party verified live track record, no empty claims. Ever. :)
     
    #1701     Dec 21, 2012
  2. cornix

    cornix

    Easily can be wrong, no biggie. TA traders don't pretend to possess some secret always right method. Just odds say this or that and I do this or that. That's how I make a living. :)
     
    #1702     Dec 21, 2012
  3. I must have missed it. Regardless, the only thing that makes sense to post is pre trade calls--- folks can't trade in the past, so what good is showing after the fact?

    The old Wall Street trick of having 2 or more accounts and only showing the winner can also be used by TA traders to create a history. Please only real time before the fact calls on elite. Thanks.
     
    #1703     Dec 21, 2012
  4. cornix

    cornix

    You couldn't miss it but intentionally, I showed it to you numerous times and you even posted screen shots of it yourself... but never mind. :D
     
    #1704     Dec 21, 2012
  5. So can random entries-- easily be right or wrong. How do you measure the odds to do this or that? Odds can be quantified-- but the TA brigade rarely does-- and when they do-- the real odd edge is rare and tiny. See evidence based TA by Aronson

    Why not just admit you trade by feel and intuition? Using terms like odds is a misnomer in chart reading trading.

    surf
     
    #1705     Dec 21, 2012
  6. cornix

    cornix

    Can probably be intuition, but it's based on chart patterns for me, for which I know odds, because I keep the stats of them. So why fix what works?
     
    #1706     Dec 21, 2012
  7. Well, if you are being fully truthful, I can't argue with success.

    However, i base my market ideas via testing of millions of results across years and years of data where actual statistical biases can be shown. While personification may work in the mental health field, I would exercise caution when drawing conclusions from personal experience in the markets. just a thought.

    Follow me on twitter @marketsurfer


    surf
     
    #1707     Dec 21, 2012
  8. dreturns

    dreturns

    Dude what an epic read. Just found this thread, and was mesmerized by the JCP short. I had the 6 month chart while reading it. You gave a date of 11/1 back in Sep. Looking at the chart, the bottom was like 11/10 or so. Excellent call in the face of mounting attacks. There was a pack of attack dogs on you. I will remember this one. Stick to what you know is right, keep calm, and go sailing. Epic.
     
    #1708     Dec 21, 2012
  9. Stick with what works for you. Not sure why some people want to insist that what you are doing isn't working when you have the stats to back it up!

     
    #1709     Dec 21, 2012
  10. #1710     Dec 21, 2012
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